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Cham vs Biel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
3 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Tia E.
32' Event
Veselinovic M.
60' Event
Dzonlagic O.

AI Match Summary

Cham in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Cham
15%
Draws
49%
Biel
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Biel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Biel lately — more wins on the board than Cham.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Biel here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cham Clean Sheet 15%
Biel Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Biel
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 16
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.77 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Promotion League
Cham vs Biel
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Promotion League
Biel vs Cham
3:1
May 3, 2025 Promotion League
Cham vs Biel
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 Promotion League
Biel vs Cham
4:1
Apr 6, 2024 Promotion League
Cham vs Biel
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cham Compare

Top Goalscorer Tia E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasquarelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Biel Compare

Top Goalscorer Veselinovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dzonlagic O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 31 / 100
Biel 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Biel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Biel Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cham's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Biel conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Cham remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Biel
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
03 Oct
Cham
2 : 4
Bulle
26 Sept
Lugano II
0 : 1
Cham
19 Sept
Cham
2 : 1
Bruhl SG
12 Sept
Young Fellows Juventus
2 : 0
Cham
05 Sept
Cham
4 : 0
Zurich II
Page 1 of 6

Biel

(Away)
03 Oct
Amical Saint-Prex
1 : 2
Biel
26 Sept
Biel
2 : 0
Bavois
19 Sept
Breitenrain
0 : 4
Biel
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
06 Sept
Biel
2 : 4
Young Boys II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)