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Cham vs Biel

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
3 - 2
FT
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Tia E.
32' Event
Veselinovic M.
60' Event
Dzonlagic O.

AI Match Summary

Cham in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Cham
20%
Draws
52%
Biel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Biel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Biel lately — more wins on the board than Cham.
  • Model gives Biel a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Promotion League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Biel here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Cham Clean Sheet 10%
Biel Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cham Biel
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 3
Goals Scored 1.62 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.72 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Promotion League
Cham vs Biel
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 Promotion League
Biel vs Cham
3:1
May 3, 2025 Promotion League
Cham vs Biel
1:3
Oct 27, 2024 Promotion League
Biel vs Cham
4:1
Apr 6, 2024 Promotion League
Cham vs Biel
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cham Compare

Top Goalscorer Tia E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pasquarelli M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Biel Compare

Top Goalscorer Veselinovic M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dzonlagic O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cham 14 / 100
Biel 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cham Biel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BIE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cham scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Biel conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Cham remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cham VS Biel
1.38 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cham

(Home)
08 Aug
Cham
0 : 2
Paradiso
01 Aug
Cham
2 : 1
Breitenrain
17 Jul
Rapperswil-Jona
3 : 1
Cham
01 Jul
Cham
2 : 3
Grasshoppers
30 May
Cham
3 : 2
Biel
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Biel

(Away)
09 Aug
Biel
4 : 2
Young Fellows Juventus
02 Aug
Zurich II
0 : 1
Biel
23 Jul
Biel
2 : 0
Prishtina Bern
20 Jul
Biel
2 : 2
Breitenrain
18 Jul
Biel
1 : 1
Kriens
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)