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Chamalieres vs Ales - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
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Match Events

33' Event
Djabou Y.
76' Event
Diaby N.

AI Match Summary

Ales in this National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ales.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Chamalieres
30%
Draws
58%
Ales
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ales

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ales have won more games recently than Chamalieres.
  • Model gives Ales a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Chamalieres Clean Sheet 17%
Ales Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chamalieres Ales
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Chamalieres vs Ales
0:2
Dec 16, 2023 National 1 - Group A
Ales vs Chamalieres
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chamalieres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ales Compare

Top Goalscorer Djabou Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaby N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chamalieres 12 / 100
Ales 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chamalieres Ales

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ales Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chamalieres scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Ales conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Chamalieres went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chamalieres VS Ales
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chamalieres

(Home)
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
18 May
Chamalieres
2 : 2
Toulon
11 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 1
Chamalieres
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
20 Apr
Jura Sud
2 : 2
Chamalieres
Page 1 of 6

Ales

(Away)
30 Nov
Ales
1 : 5
Cannes
16 Nov
Ales
4 : 2
Beaucairois
18 May
Bourgoin Jallieu
0 : 0
Ales
11 May
Ales
2 : 1
Toulouse II
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)