Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chamalieres vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

National 2 - Group A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Dadoune O.
14' Event
Kuyenga M.
70' Event
Gery L.

AI Match Summary

The National 2 - Group A 2023/2024 game between Chamalieres and Frejus Saint Raphael finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chamalieres.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Chamalieres
20%
Draws
60%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Frejus Saint Raphael come out ahead of Chamalieres on wins alone.
  • Model gives Frejus Saint Raphael a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Chamalieres Clean Sheet 20%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chamalieres Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Chamalieres
4:1
Jan 27, 2024 National 1 - Group A
Chamalieres vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chamalieres Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuyenga M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gery L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadoune O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chamalieres 24 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chamalieres Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frejus Saint Raphael Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frejus Saint Raphael let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chamalieres scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Difficult form: Frejus Saint Raphael registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Frejus Saint Raphael
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chamalieres

(Home)
15 Nov
Fontenay
1 : 0
Chamalieres
18 May
Chamalieres
2 : 2
Toulon
11 May
Frejus Saint Raphael
4 : 1
Chamalieres
27 Apr
Chamalieres
0 : 2
Ales
20 Apr
Jura Sud
2 : 2
Chamalieres
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Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aubagne FC 26 14 10 2 33:17 52
2 Le Puy-en-Velay 26 12 10 4 39:24 46
3 RC Grasse 26 10 12 4 31:21 42
4 Jura Sud 26 10 11 5 34:23 41
5 Cannes 26 9 13 4 41:21 40
6 Hyeres 26 9 10 7 37:22 37
7 Frejus Saint Raphael 26 8 12 6 25:19 36
8 Toulon 26 9 8 9 30:29 35
9 Andrezieux 26 9 7 10 26:28 34
10 Ales 26 7 8 11 23:39 29
11 Thonon-Evian 26 7 7 12 27:35 28
12 Chamalieres 26 5 11 10 26:40 26
13 Bourgoin Jallieu 26 4 9 13 24:43 21
14 Toulouse II 26 1 8 17 24:59 11
Promotion - National 2024/2025 (Main)