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Chambishi vs Nkana

Zambia Zambia

Super League 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Kabala D.
20' Event
Sinyangwe E.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2022/2023 game between Chambishi and Nkana finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Chambishi
30%
Draws
39%
Nkana
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nkana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Nkana have managed 0.77 goals a game lately — Chambishi are scoring more at 1.07.
  • Model gives Nkana a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Chambishi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 11%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Chambishi Clean Sheet 23%
Nkana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chambishi Nkana
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.07 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Super League
Chambishi vs Nkana
1:1
Sep 18, 2022 Super League
Nkana vs Chambishi
1:2
Feb 5, 2022 Super League
Chambishi vs Nkana
1:0
Sep 29, 2021 Super League
Nkana vs Chambishi
0:1
Jul 26, 2008 Super League
Chambishi vs Nkana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chambishi Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinyangwe E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Nkana Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabala D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chambishi 24 / 100
Nkana 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chambishi Nkana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nkana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chambishi found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Nkana conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Chambishi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Nkana
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chambishi

(Home)
03 Jun
Chambishi
4 : 2
Buildcon
13 May
Kabwe
3 : 1
Chambishi
06 May
Chambishi
0 : 2
Kansanshi
30 Apr
Zesco
3 : 0
Chambishi
23 Apr
Chambishi
0 : 0
NAPSA Stars
Page 1 of 6

Nkana

(Away)
23 May
Kansanshi
0 : 0
Nkana
17 May
Nkana
1 : 2
Muza Fc
13 May
Zesco
0 : 1
Nkana
03 May
Nkana
0 : 1
Nchanga Rangers
30 Apr
NAPSA Stars
1 : 1
Nkana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Power Dynamos 34 17 14 3 48:19 65
2 Muza Fc 34 17 8 9 43:28 59
3 Zesco 34 15 10 9 46:27 55
4 Green Buffaloes FC 34 13 16 5 41:29 55
5 NAPSA Stars 34 13 12 9 40:26 51
6 Red Arrows 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
7 Green Eagles 34 14 8 12 36:34 50
8 Forest Rangers 34 11 15 8 30:24 48
9 Nkana 34 12 12 10 32:27 48
10 Kansanshi 34 12 12 10 33:31 48
11 Kabwe 34 10 16 8 37:27 46
12 Prison Leopards 34 10 15 9 35:36 45
13 Zanaco 34 10 11 13 32:32 41
14 Nkwazi 34 9 12 13 30:33 39
15 Nchanga Rangers 34 8 13 13 32:43 37
16 Lumwana Radiants 34 7 13 14 32:40 34
17 Chambishi 34 9 5 20 34:60 32
18 Buildcon 34 2 4 28 16:89 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Main)