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Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Kewei - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Yatai Training Base Stadium, Changchun
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Match Events

1' Event
Yao Xuchen
Assist: Zhang Huajun
12' Event
Memet Nuryasin
Assist: Huang Wenzhuo
27'
Sub
Li Zhen In: Li Wuze
Out: Li Zhen

AI Match Summary

Changchun Xidu in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Changchun Xidu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Changchun Xidu
35%
Draws
34%
Dalian Kewei
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Dalian Kewei have won more games recently than Changchun Xidu.
  • Model gives Changchun Xidu a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Changchun Xidu Clean Sheet 19%
Dalian Kewei Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Xidu Dalian Kewei
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 14 11
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 0.76 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Dalian Kewei
2:1
Jun 13, 2026 League Two
Dalian Kewei vs Changchun Xidu
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Xidu Compare

Top Goalscorer Memet Nuryasin
1 Goals
Assists Leader He Youzu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Dalian Kewei Compare

Top Goalscorer Yao Xuchen
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Xidu 42 / 100
Dalian Kewei 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Xidu Dalian Kewei

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Changchun Xidu remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Changchun Xidu scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Dalian Kewei's defensive record shows goals conceded in 38% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Xidu VS Dalian Kewei
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Xidu

(Home)
06 Oct
Changchun Xidu
1 : 1
Guangzhou Dandelion
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Hubei Istar
1 : 2
Changchun Xidu
22 Aug
Changchun Xidu
2 : 1
Dalian Kewei
15 Aug
Beijing Technology
2 : 2
Changchun Xidu
Page 1 of 6

Dalian Kewei

(Away)
07 Oct
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
19 Sept
Dalian Kewei
0 : 0
Shenzhen 2028
12 Sept
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 1
Dalian Kewei
22 Aug
Changchun Xidu
2 : 1
Dalian Kewei
15 Aug
Dalian Kewei
1 : 0
Taian Tiankuang
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)