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Changchun Xidu vs Qingdao Red Lions

China China

League Two Yatai Training Base Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Xu Jiashi
17'
Li Mingfan
34'
Sub
Sun Xu In: Zong Keyi
Out: Sun Xu

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Changchun Xidu
39%
Draws
31%
Qingdao Red Lions
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Qingdao Red Lions lately — more wins on the board than Changchun Xidu.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Changchun Xidu Clean Sheet 68%
Qingdao Red Lions Clean Sheet 23%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Xidu Qingdao Red Lions
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 2 5
Draws 15 9
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Qingdao Red Lions
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 League Two
Qingdao Red Lions vs Changchun Xidu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Xidu Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhong Weihong
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

Qingdao Red Lions Compare

Top Goalscorer Xu Jiashi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Xidu 41 / 100
Qingdao Red Lions 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Xidu Qingdao Red Lions

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Qingdao Red Lions conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Changchun Xidu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Changchun Xidu's goal record stands at 46% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Xidu VS Qingdao Red Lions
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B17112425:1435
2Shanghai Port B16104229:1034
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu162868:2014
11Shanghai Second1726916:3012
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1648416:2320
8Guangzhou Dandelion1654717:2019
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179