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Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Yatai Training Base Stadium, Changchun
Changchun Xidu Logo

Changchun Xidu

1 - 2
FT
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Logo

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kadir Aysan
Assist: Huang Wenzhuo
26'
Zhang Tianlong
38'
Liu Yang
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shanxi Chongde Ronghai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Changchun Xidu
35%
Draws
23%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Changchun Xidu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Shanxi Chongde Ronghai have won more games recently than Changchun Xidu.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Changchun Xidu taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Changchun Xidu Clean Sheet 68%
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Xidu Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 16
Draws 14 5
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.76 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.41 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1:2
May 23, 2026 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Changchun Xidu
3:0
Jun 28, 2025 League Two
Changchun Xidu vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
2:0
Apr 13, 2025 League Two
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai vs Changchun Xidu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Xidu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kadir Aysan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai Compare

Top Goalscorer Beisen H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palmanjan K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Xidu 59 / 100
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Xidu Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Changchun Xidu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Changchun Xidu remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Changchun Xidu's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Xidu VS Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Xidu

(Home)
06 Oct
Changchun Xidu
1 : 1
Guangzhou Dandelion
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Hubei Istar
1 : 2
Changchun Xidu
22 Aug
Changchun Xidu
2 : 1
Dalian Kewei
15 Aug
Beijing Technology
2 : 2
Changchun Xidu
Page 1 of 6

Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

(Away)
06 Oct
Hangzhou Linping
0 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
19 Sept
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
1 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
13 Sept
Shenzhen 2028
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
22 Aug
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
0 : 0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
15 Aug
Qingdao Red Lions
1 : 0
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)