Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors

China China

League One Development Area Stadium, Changchun
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rodrigo Henrique
Assist: Zhong Haoran
13' Event
Garita A.
Assist: Shang Yin
15'
Sun Qinhan

AI Match Summary

Shenzhen Juniors in this League One matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shenzhen Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Changchun Yatai
30%
Draws
43%
Shenzhen Juniors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Shenzhen Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Shenzhen Juniors have won more games recently than Changchun Yatai.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 16%
Shenzhen Juniors Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Shenzhen Juniors
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 14
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 League One
Shenzhen Juniors vs Changchun Yatai
1:1
May 24, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Yatai Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Shenzhen Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Henrique
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garita A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 31 / 100
Shenzhen Juniors 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Shenzhen Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Shenzhen Juniors Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changchun Yatai scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Changchun Yatai has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Shenzhen Juniors has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS Shenzhen Juniors
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Changchun Yatai

(Home)
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Changchun Yatai
2 : 0
Ningbo Professional
30 Aug
Guangdong GZ-Power
3 : 0
Changchun Yatai
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Shenzhen Juniors

(Away)
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
13 Sept
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
0 : 0
Shenzhen Juniors
06 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
5 : 1
Meizhou Hakka
29 Aug
Foshan Nanshi
1 : 2
Shenzhen Juniors
23 Aug
Shenzhen Juniors
3 : 1
Nanjing City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 24 16 6 2 48:20 54
2 Guangxi Hengchen 24 13 6 5 40:26 45
3 Shenzhen Juniors 24 12 8 4 39:25 44
4 Nantong Zhiyun 24 11 9 4 33:20 42
5 Shaanxi Union 24 10 6 8 38:26 36
6 Yanbian Longding 24 9 8 7 33:27 35
7 Wuxi Wugou 24 9 5 10 36:29 32
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 24 8 7 9 22:25 31
9 Changchun Yatai 24 10 3 11 37:40 29
10 Ningbo Professional 24 9 5 10 27:30 29
11 Dalian Kun City 24 7 8 9 30:36 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 24 7 8 9 28:33 26
13 Dingnan Ganlian 24 4 11 9 35:46 23
14 Nanjing City 24 5 6 13 20:33 21
15 Meizhou Hakka 24 7 3 14 25:50 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 24 2 7 15 24:49 13
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)