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Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors

China China

League One Development Area Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Rodrigo Henrique
Assist: Zhong Haoran
13' Event
Garita A.
Assist: Shang Yin
15'
Sun Qinhan

AI Match Summary

Shenzhen Juniors in this League One matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Shenzhen Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Changchun Yatai
17%
Draws
13%
Shenzhen Juniors
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Changchun Yatai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Shenzhen Juniors have won more games recently than Changchun Yatai.
  • Win probability leans Changchun Yatai's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%
Shenzhen Juniors Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changchun Yatai Shenzhen Juniors
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Shenzhen Juniors
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changchun Yatai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Shenzhen Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrigo Henrique
2 Goals
Assists Leader Garita A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changchun Yatai 65 / 100
Shenzhen Juniors 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changchun Yatai Shenzhen Juniors

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Changchun Yatai scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Shenzhen Juniors has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Changchun Yatai has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Changchun Yatai VS Shenzhen Juniors
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guangdong GZ-Power1493227:1430
2Shenzhen Juniors1474326:1825
3Yanbian Longding1466221:1224
4Nantong Zhiyun1365212:923
5Guangxi Hengchen1364319:1322
6Ningbo Professional1473419:1621
7Shaanxi Union1354419:919
8Nanjing City1453614:1518
9Wuxi Wugou1345421:1617
10Dingnan Ganlian1438321:2417
11Dalian Kun City1344519:2016
12Changchun Yatai1361620:2215
13Meizhou Hakka1442813:2911
14Foshan Nanshi1424815:2710
15Shijiazhuang Gongfu142397:189
16Suzhou Dongwu1423911:226