Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Change vs TA Rennes

France France

Coupe de France 2015/2016
Sat, Nov 14, 2015
2 - 3
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Caroff A.
18' Event
Caroff A.
78' Event
Loudifa N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with TA Rennes advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Change
15%
Draws
42%
TA Rennes
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Change

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • TA Rennes haven't matched Change's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Change's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Change have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor TA Rennes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Change Clean Sheet 13%
TA Rennes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Change TA Rennes
Matches Played 22 15
Wins 8 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.18 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.82 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2015 Coupe de France
Change vs TA Rennes
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Change Compare

Top Goalscorer Loudifa N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

TA Rennes Compare

Top Goalscorer Caroff A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Change 84 / 100
TA Rennes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Change TA Rennes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Change Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: TA Rennes conceded in 87% of 15 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Change scored in 68% of their last 22 games.

TA Rennes lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Change VS TA Rennes
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Change

(Home)
07 Feb
Change
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
02 Dec
Saint Lo Manche
2 : 1
Change
12 Nov
Plancoet-Arguenon FC
0 : 3
Change
14 Nov
Change
2 : 3
TA Rennes
18 Nov
Stade Pontivyen
2 : 1
Change
Page 1 of 5

TA Rennes

(Away)
16 Nov
Cesson
3 : 2
TA Rennes
17 Aug
TA Rennes
2 : 0
Saint Lo Manche
18 Nov
Dinan
3 : 1
TA Rennes
16 Nov
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant
4 : 0
TA Rennes
12 Nov
TA Rennes
2 : 4
Pontivy
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Lorient -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Libourne 2
Bourges 18 1
Saumur Olympique 0
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Le Havre 0
Douai 0
Yvetot 2
Paris FC 1
CMS Oissel 0
Gonfreville 0
Boulogne 6
Niort 5
La Rochelle 1
La Gacilly 0
Les Herbiers 4
Nimes 1
Frontignan AC 0
Lucon 2
Moulins 3
Villefranche 2
Louhans Cuiseaux 0
GOAL FC 1
Grenoble 3
Schirrhein 2
Reding 0
Magny 0
Sarre Union 1
Saint-Malo 3
Red Star 1
Pirae 5
Pontivy 6
Orvault 3
St. Saturnin 1
Paimpol 0
Avranches 2
Rodeo 2
Perpignan 0
Thiers 0
Stade Bordelais 2
Genets 3
Vic Le Comte 0
Stade Balarucois 1
Stade Montois 7
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ailly sur Somme FC 3
Vimy 1
Sens 0
Chantilly 3
Sainte-Marienne 2
Saint Lo Manche 0
Cholet ASPTT 0
Vertou 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GFC Ajaccio -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Colmar 4
Selongey 1
Clouange 0
Raon L Etape 3
De Volvic 1
Nord 17 0
Bourges 2
Gueret 3
Excelsior 1
Poissy 0
Bretigny Foot 1
AC Ajaccio 2
Concarneau 4
Montgermont 0
Zouasia 0
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 3
St. Renan 3
Liffre 2
Change 2
TA Rennes 3
Dunkerque 3
Reims Ste Anne 0
Aubervilliers 2
SC Hazebrouck 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Troyes -
Lyon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lege Capferret 4
Agouado 0
Auxerre 1
Limoges 2
Reims -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Orleans 7
Sauveur 1
Golden Star 0
Chambly 1
Toulouse -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quevilly 2
Lens 1
St Ouen 2
Sannois 3
Wasquehal 1
Prix les Mezieres 0
Montceau 1
Metz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Sochaux 2
Strasbourg 1
Dinsheim 2
Nancy 4
Alfortville 2
L'Etoile 1
Ebersheim 1
A.S. Pagny 2
Sedan 4
Creil 1
Saint-Amand 0
IC Croix 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bastia -
Thonon-Evian 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Andrezieux 1
Lyon - La Duchere 2
Pontcharra St Loup 2
Limonest 1
Gieres 0
Annecy 3
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Istres 0
Saint Die 0
Hauts Lyonnais 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Monaco -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Beziers 1
Sete 0
Espaly 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 3
Besancon RC 2
Jura Sud 1
Noisy Le Sec 1
Golden Lion 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Mantes 4
Iracoubo 0
Amiens SC 1
Marck 2
Brest 3
Montagnarde 0
Fougeres 0
Stade Briochin 1
Blanc Mesnil 1
Versailles 0
Balagne Rousse 3
Mainvilliers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Granville 2
SU Dives 0
Viry-Chatillon 1
Saint Nazaire 2
CPB Brequigny 3
Rostrenen 0
La Suze 1
Laval 2
Valenciennes 1
Creteil 0
Borgo FC (Inactive) 0
Beauvais 1
Dijon 9
Veyle Saone 0
Schiltigheim 1
Sarreguemines 2
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Mulhouse 2
Moulien 1
APM Metz 0
St. Louis Neuweg 3
Montelimar 1
Echirolles FC 0
Berre SP 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Trelissac 10
Panazol 0
Blagnac 1
Clermont 3
Montauban 4
Toulouse Saint 2
Colomiers 1
AS Muret 3
Amiens AC 2
Bethune 0
Olympique Marcquois 3
Maubeuge 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Montpellier -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besancon FC 4
Chassieu Decines 0
Hienghene Sport 2
Epernay 3
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/64-finals
Lorient -
TBD -
Libourne 0
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Yvetot 1
Paris FC 1
Boulogne 3
Niort 3
Les Herbiers 1
Nimes 0
Moulins 1
Villefranche 1
Grenoble 0
Schirrhein 1
Sarre Union 6
Saint-Malo 3
Pontivy 0
Orvault 1
Avranches 5
Rodeo 1
Stade Bordelais 0
Genets 1
Stade Montois 2
Guingamp -
TBD -
Ailly sur Somme FC 1
Chantilly 3
Sainte-Marienne 3
Vertou 2
TBD -
GFC Ajaccio -
St Etienne -
TBD -
Colmar 1
Raon L Etape 2
De Volvic 4
Gueret 2
Excelsior 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 0
St. Renan 0
TA Rennes 4
Dunkerque 1
SC Hazebrouck 0
TBD -
Troyes -
Lyon -
TBD -
Lege Capferret 1
Limoges 2
Reims -
TBD -
Orleans 3
Chambly 4
Toulouse -
TBD -
Quevilly 1
Sannois 2
Wasquehal 2
Metz 1
TBD -
PSG -
Sochaux 1
Nancy 0
Alfortville 0
A.S. Pagny 1
Sedan 2
IC Croix 1
TBD -
Bastia -
Thonon-Evian 1
Lyon - La Duchere 0
Pontcharra St Loup 0
Annecy 5
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 3
Hauts Lyonnais 1
TBD -
Monaco -
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Beziers 0
Frejus Saint Raphael 1
Besancon RC 2
Golden Lion 1
TBD -
Angers -
Mantes 2
Marck 0
Brest 0
Stade Briochin 2
Blanc Mesnil 3
Mainvilliers 0
TBD -
Nantes -
Granville 2
Saint Nazaire 0
CPB Brequigny 1
Laval 4
Valenciennes 2
Beauvais 1
Dijon 1
Sarreguemines 2
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Mulhouse 3
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Montelimar 1
Bourg Peronnas 2
Trelissac 1
Clermont 0
Montauban 0
AS Muret 3
Amiens AC 1
Maubeuge 0
TBD -
Lille -
Montpellier -
TBD -
Besancon FC 1
Epernay 2
Caen -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
1/32-finals
Lorient 3
Tours 2
Saint-Omer 2
Boulogne 3
Niort 2
Moulins 1
Villefranche 1
Sarre Union 2
Saint-Malo 2
Avranches 1
Rodeo 0
Stade Montois 1
Guingamp 4
Chantilly 0
Sainte-Marienne 0
GFC Ajaccio 2
St Etienne 2
Raon L Etape 1
De Volvic 0
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 3
TA Rennes 0
Dunkerque 3
Troyes 4
Lyon 7
Limoges 0
Reims 1
Chambly 4
Toulouse 5
Sannois 0
Wasquehal 0
PSG 1
Sochaux 2
A.S. Pagny 0
Sedan 0
Bastia 2
Thonon-Evian 4
Annecy 1
Villefranche Saint-Jean Beaulieu 2
Monaco 10
Bordeaux 3
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Besancon RC 1
Angers 3
Mantes 2
Stade Briochin 0
Blanc Mesnil 0
Nantes 2
Granville 2
Laval 1
Valenciennes 0
Sarreguemines 1
Rennes 3
Nice 2
Mulhouse 1
Bourg Peronnas 3
Trelissac 2
AS Muret 0
Amiens AC 0
Lille 1
Montpellier 1
Epernay 0
Caen 0
Marseille 1
1/16-finals
Lorient 3
Boulogne 1
Niort 0
Sarre Union 1
Saint-Malo 1
Stade Montois 0
Guingamp 0
GFC Ajaccio 3
St Etienne 2
AC Ajaccio 1
Concarneau 1
Troyes 3
Lyon 2
Chambly 0
Toulouse 1
PSG 2
Sochaux 2
Bastia 1
Thonon-Evian 1
Monaco 3
Bordeaux 2
Angers 1
Mantes 0
Nantes 1
Granville 3
Sarreguemines 1
Rennes 1
Bourg Peronnas 3
Trelissac 2
Lille 1
Montpellier 0
Marseille 2
1/8-finals
Lorient 4
Sarre Union 0
Saint-Malo 1
GFC Ajaccio 2
St Etienne 2
Troyes 1
Lyon 0
PSG 3
Sochaux 2
Monaco 1
Bordeaux 3
Nantes 4
Granville 1
Bourg Peronnas 0
Trelissac 0
Marseille 2
Quarter-finals
Lorient 3
GFC Ajaccio 0
St Etienne 1
PSG 3
Sochaux 3
Nantes 2
Granville 0
Marseille 1
Semi-finals
Lorient 0
PSG 1
Sochaux 0
Marseille 1
Final
PSG 4
Marseille 2