Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup

Changwon

3 - 0

Geumsan Insam

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Tae Hyun-Chan

33'

Lee J.

63'

Lee Jong-Hun

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Korean Cup game between Changwon and Geumsan Insam finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Changwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Changwon

22%

Draws

18%

Geumsan Insam

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Changwon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Changwon come out ahead of Geumsan Insam on wins alone.
Changwon are the model's pick here, at 60%.
It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Korean Cup game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%

Changwon Clean Sheet 68%

Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Changwon	Geumsan Insam
Matches Played	30	17
Wins	14	7
Draws	10	6
Losses	6	4
Goals Scored	1.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup

Changwon vs Geumsan Insam

Possession: 60% - 45% Cards: 0 - 1

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tae Hyun-Chan

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lee J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Geumsan Insam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 68 / 100

Geumsan Insam 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Changwon Geumsan Insam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Geumsan Insam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 17 matches.

Attacking prowess: Changwon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Changwon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Geumsan Insam

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Jeonnam-

TBD-

Chungnam Asan-

Daegu-

TBD-

Jincheon-

TBD-

Siheung Citizen-

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen-

TBD-

Chuncheon-

TBD-

Seoul E-Land-

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City-

TBD-

Yangsan United1

Anseong Citizen2

TBD-

Mokpo-

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong-

TBD-

Gijang United-

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings-

Ansan Greeners-

TBD-

Jinju Citizen-

TBD-

Sejong SA-

Seosan Pioneer-

TBD-

Gyeongju KHNP-

TBD-

Cheongju-

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong-

TBD-

Yeonsu Songdo0

Ulsan FC4

TBD-

Yangpyeong-

Pyeongtaek Citizen-

TBD-

Yeoju Citizen-

TBD-

Gyeongnam-

Yongin FC-

TBD-

Haman-

TBD-

Dangjin Citizen-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju-

TBD-

Seoul Jungnang-

TBD-

Gimpo FC-

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC-

TBD-

Cheongju Showking3

Yangcheon TNT9

TBD-

Pyeongchang United-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon-

TBD-

Geumsan Insam-

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

TBD-

Daejeon Korail-

TBD-

Pocheon-

Busan-

TBD-

Incheon Seogot2

Areum1

TBD-

Geoje-

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier-

TBD-

Jecheon Citizen-

TBD-

Gangneung-

1/64-finals

Jeonnam-

TBD-

Chungnam Asan-

Daegu-

TBD-

Jincheon1

Siheung Citizen2

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen2

Chuncheon1

TBD-

Seoul E-Land-

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City-

TBD-

Anseong Citizen2

Mokpo3

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong2

Gijang United1

TBD-

Suwon Bluewings-

Ansan Greeners-

TBD-

Jinju Citizen2

Sejong SA1

Seosan Pioneer0

Gyeongju KHNP3

TBD-

Cheongju-

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong-

TBD-

Ulsan FC1

Yangpyeong5

Pyeongtaek Citizen1

Yeoju Citizen3

TBD-

Gyeongnam-

Yongin FC-

TBD-

Haman0

Dangjin Citizen2

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju3

Seoul Jungnang1

TBD-

Gimpo FC-

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC-

TBD-

Yangcheon TNT1

Pyeongchang United2

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon3

Geumsan Insam0

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

TBD-

Daejeon Korail0

Pocheon2

Busan-

TBD-

Incheon Seogot0

Geoje4

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier-

TBD-

Jecheon Citizen0

Gangneung2

1/32-finals

Jeonnam3

Chungnam Asan4

Daegu0

Siheung Citizen1

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen4

Seoul E-Land2

TBD-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

TBD-

Cheonan City2

Mokpo1

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong2

Suwon Bluewings1

Ansan Greeners0

Jinju Citizen2

Gyeongju KHNP0

Cheongju4

TBD-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

TBD-

Hwaseong4

Yangpyeong3

Yeoju Citizen1

Gyeongnam0

Yongin FC0

Dangjin Citizen2

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Namyangju1

Gimpo FC2

TBD-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

TBD-

Suwon FC3

Pyeongchang United2

Gangwon-

TBD-

Changwon1

Gimhae5

Seongnam2

Pocheon1

Busan4

Geoje0

TBD-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

TBD-

Paju Frontier3

Gangneung2

1/16-finals

Chungnam Asan-

Siheung Citizen-

TBD-

Daejeon-

Ulsan Citizen-

Ulsan Hyundai-

Gwangju FC-

Cheonan City-

Pohang-

TBD-

Busan Kyotong-

Jinju Citizen-

Cheongju-

Anyang-

Jeju SK-

Hwaseong-

Yeoju Citizen-

Dangjin Citizen-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

Gimpo FC-

Incheon-

Gimcheon Sangmu-

Suwon FC-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Gimhae-

Seongnam-

Busan-

Seoul-

Bucheon FC 1995-

Paju Frontier-

1/8-finals

TBD-

Daejeon-

TBD-

Pohang-

TBD-

Jeonbuk-

TBD-

Gangwon-

TBD-

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-