Sport Picks

South Korea

Korean Cup

Changwon

3 - 0

Geumsan Insam

Our Tip

Match Events

32'

Tae Hyun-Chan

33'

Lee J.

63'

Lee Jong-Hun

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Changwon

35%

Draws

52%

Geumsan Insam

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Geumsan Insam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Changwon come out ahead of Geumsan Insam on wins alone.
Geumsan Insam are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Changwon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Changwon, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Changwon Clean Sheet 12%

Geumsan Insam Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Changwon	Geumsan Insam
Matches Played	28	21
Wins	11	8
Draws	10	8
Losses	7	5
Goals Scored	1.32	1.52
Goals Conceded	1.11	1.19
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup

Changwon vs Geumsan Insam

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Tae Hyun-Chan

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lee J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Geumsan Insam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 14 / 100

Geumsan Insam 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Changwon Geumsan Insam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Geumsan Insam Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changwon scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Geumsan Insam's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 21 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Changwon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Geumsan Insam

1.75 Goals Scored 1.63

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

(Home)

05 Sept

Changwon

0 : 1

Daejeon Korail

22 Aug

Busan Kyotong

4 : 3

Changwon

26 Jul

Changwon

1 : 1

Jeonbuk 2

15 Jul

Changwon

1 : 5

Gimhae

12 Jul

Changwon

1 : 1

Chuncheon

Page 1 of 6

Geumsan Insam

(Away)

05 Sept

Geumsan Insam

0 : 0

Pyeongtaek Citizen

30 Aug

Geumsan Insam

1 : 1

Jinju Citizen

23 Aug

Seosan Pioneer

0 : 3

Geumsan Insam

25 Jul

Geumsan Insam

1 : 3

Seoul Jungnang

11 Jul

Jecheon Citizen

1 : 2

Geumsan Insam

Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Jeonnam -

TBD -

Chungnam Asan -

Daegu -

TBD -

Jincheon -

TBD -

Siheung Citizen -

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen -

TBD -

Chuncheon -

TBD -

Seoul E-Land -

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City -

TBD -

Yangsan United 1

Anseong Citizen 2

TBD -

Mokpo -

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong -

TBD -

Gijang United -

TBD -

Suwon Bluewings -

Ansan Greeners -

TBD -

Jinju Citizen -

TBD -

Sejong SA -

Seosan Pioneer -

TBD -

Gyeongju KHNP -

TBD -

Cheongju -

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong -

TBD -

Yeonsu Songdo 0

Ulsan FC 4

TBD -

Yangpyeong -

Pyeongtaek Citizen -

TBD -

Yeoju Citizen -

TBD -

Gyeongnam -

Yongin FC -

TBD -

Haman -

TBD -

Dangjin Citizen -

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju -

TBD -

Seoul Jungnang -

TBD -

Gimpo FC -

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC -

TBD -

Cheongju Showking 3

Yangcheon TNT 9

TBD -

Pyeongchang United -

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon -

TBD -

Geumsan Insam -

TBD -

Gimhae -

Seongnam -

TBD -

Daejeon Korail -

TBD -

Pocheon -

Busan -

TBD -

Incheon Seogot 2

Areum 1

TBD -

Geoje -

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier -

TBD -

Jecheon Citizen -

TBD -

Gangneung -

1/64-finals

Jeonnam -

TBD -

Chungnam Asan -

Daegu -

TBD -

Jincheon 1

Siheung Citizen 2

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 2

Chuncheon 1

TBD -

Seoul E-Land -

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City -

TBD -

Anseong Citizen 2

Mokpo 3

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 2

Gijang United 1

TBD -

Suwon Bluewings -

Ansan Greeners -

TBD -

Jinju Citizen 2

Sejong SA 1

Seosan Pioneer 0

Gyeongju KHNP 3

TBD -

Cheongju -

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong -

TBD -

Ulsan FC 1

Yangpyeong 5

Pyeongtaek Citizen 1

Yeoju Citizen 3

TBD -

Gyeongnam -

Yongin FC -

TBD -

Haman 0

Dangjin Citizen 2

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju 3

Seoul Jungnang 1

TBD -

Gimpo FC -

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC -

TBD -

Yangcheon TNT 1

Pyeongchang United 2

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon 3

Geumsan Insam 0

TBD -

Gimhae -

Seongnam -

TBD -

Daejeon Korail 0

Pocheon 2

Busan -

TBD -

Incheon Seogot 0

Geoje 4

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier -

TBD -

Jecheon Citizen 0

Gangneung 2

1/32-finals

Jeonnam 3

Chungnam Asan 4

Daegu 0

Siheung Citizen 1

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 4

Seoul E-Land 2

TBD -

Ulsan Hyundai -

Gwangju FC -

TBD -

Cheonan City 2

Mokpo 1

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 2

Suwon Bluewings 1

Ansan Greeners 0

Jinju Citizen 2

Gyeongju KHNP 0

Cheongju 4

TBD -

Anyang -

Jeju SK -

TBD -

Hwaseong 4

Yangpyeong 3

Yeoju Citizen 1

Gyeongnam 0

Yongin FC 0

Dangjin Citizen 2

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Namyangju 1

Gimpo FC 2

TBD -

Incheon -

Gimcheon Sangmu -

TBD -

Suwon FC 3

Pyeongchang United 2

Gangwon -

TBD -

Changwon 1

Gimhae 5

Seongnam 2

Pocheon 1

Busan 4

Geoje 0

TBD -

Seoul -

Bucheon FC 1995 -

TBD -

Paju Frontier 3

Gangneung 2

1/16-finals

Chungnam Asan 2

Siheung Citizen 1

TBD -

Daejeon -

Ulsan Citizen 1

Ulsan Hyundai 0

Gwangju FC 1

Cheonan City 0

Pohang -

TBD -

Busan Kyotong 1

Jinju Citizen 2

Cheongju 1

Anyang 3

Jeju SK 4

Hwaseong 3

Yeoju Citizen 0

Dangjin Citizen 1

TBD -

Jeonbuk -

Gimpo FC 1

Incheon 0

Gimcheon Sangmu 2

Suwon FC 1

Gangwon -

TBD -

Gimhae 0

Seongnam 1

Busan 2

Seoul 0

Bucheon FC 1995 3

Paju Frontier 0

1/8-finals

Chungnam Asan 2

Daejeon 3

Ulsan Citizen 0

Gwangju FC 1

Pohang 3

Jinju Citizen 1

Anyang 2

Jeju SK 1

Dangjin Citizen 3

Jeonbuk 2

Gimpo FC 2

Gimcheon Sangmu 1

Gangwon 1

Seongnam 0

Busan 0

Bucheon FC 1995 1

Quarter-finals

TBD -

Semi-finals

TBD -

Final

TBD -

Changwon vs Geumsan Insam

South Korea

Changwon

Geumsan Insam

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Changwon Compare

Geumsan Insam Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

Geumsan Insam

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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