Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Changwon vs Mokpo

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Changwon Logo

Changwon

1 - 1
FT
Mokpo Logo

Mokpo

Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Jang Han-young
90' Event
Lee Jong-Hun
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Changwon and Mokpo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Changwon
15%
Draws
73%
Mokpo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mokpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Changwon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Changwon Clean Sheet 68%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changwon Mokpo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 10 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.31 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Mokpo
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Changwon
1:1
Jul 6, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Mokpo
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 K3 League
Mokpo vs Changwon
0:2
Sep 1, 2024 K3 League
Mokpo vs Changwon
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Jong-Hun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jang Han-young
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 42 / 100
Mokpo 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changwon Mokpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changwon scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Mokpo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Mokpo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Mokpo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

(Home)
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5
Gimhae
Page 1 of 6

Mokpo

(Away)
13 Sept
Jeonbuk 2
1 : 3
Mokpo
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
25 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
6 : 1
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
6 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
7 Gyeongju KHNP 21 7 8 6 30:28 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 21 6 8 7 23:25 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)