Sport Picks
Match Events
52'
52'
Kim H.
71'
71'
Ko B. B.
AI Match Summary
The K3 League game between Changwon and Siheung Citizen finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Siheung Citizen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Siheung Citizen come out ahead of Changwon on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Siheung Citizen's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Siheung Citizen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Changwon Clean Sheet 17%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Changwon | Siheung Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 7 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Changwon
3:1
May 2, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Siheung Citizen
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Changwon
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Siheung Citizen
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Changwon
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Changwon Compare
Top Goalscorer Ko B. B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Siheung Citizen Compare
Top Goalscorer Kim H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Changwon 12 / 100
Siheung Citizen 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Changwon Siheung Citizen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Siheung Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Changwon's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Siheung Citizen has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Changwon remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Changwon VS Siheung Citizen
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Changwon
(Home) 05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1 Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3 Changwon
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1 Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5 Gimhae
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1 Chuncheon
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1 Daejeon Korail
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1 Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5 Gimhae
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1 Chuncheon
04 Jul
Changwon
3 : 0 Geumsan Insam
Page 1 of 4
Siheung Citizen
(Away) 06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3 Siheung Citizen
30 Aug
Siheung Citizen
3 : 2 Pocheon
23 Aug
Siheung Citizen
2 : 0 Daejeon Korail
29 Jul
Chungnam Asan
2 : 1 Siheung Citizen
25 Jul
Gyeongju KHNP
1 : 0 Siheung Citizen
Page 1 of 7
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3 Siheung Citizen
29 Jul
Chungnam Asan
2 : 1 Siheung Citizen
25 Jul
Gyeongju KHNP
1 : 0 Siheung Citizen
15 Jul
Daegu
0 : 1 Siheung Citizen
04 Jul
Jincheon
1 : 2 Siheung Citizen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 35:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 38:19 | 45 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 31:17 | 38 |
| 4 | Busan Kyotong | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 39:26 | 37 |
| 5 | Dangjin Citizen | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 44:36 | 31 |
| 6 | Chuncheon | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 39:35 | 29 |
| 7 | Gyeongju KHNP | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 30:28 | 29 |
| 8 | Ulsan Citizen | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 23:24 | 28 |
| 9 | Gangneung | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 20:30 | 27 |
| 10 | Changwon | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 23:25 | 26 |
| 11 | Yeoju Citizen | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:28 | 25 |
| 12 | Mokpo | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:35 | 21 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | 17 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk 2 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | 10 |
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)
