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Changwon vs Siheung Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Kim H.
71' Event
Ko B. B.

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Changwon and Siheung Citizen finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Changwon
17%
Draws
13%
Siheung Citizen
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Changwon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Siheung Citizen come out ahead of Changwon on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Changwon's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Changwon Clean Sheet 68%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changwon Siheung Citizen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 18
Draws 10 7
Losses 6 5
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Siheung Citizen
1:1
Jul 13, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Changwon
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Siheung Citizen
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Changwon
1:0
May 18, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Siheung Citizen
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Changwon Compare

Top Goalscorer Ko B. B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Siheung Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 77 / 100
Siheung Citizen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changwon Siheung Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Changwon found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Siheung Citizen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Changwon stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Siheung Citizen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Changwon1767418:1625
6Dangjin Citizen1764727:2622
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 217161019:409