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Changwon vs Yangpyeong - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
63' Event
67' Event

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Changwon and Yangpyeong finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Changwon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Changwon
15%
Draws
21%
Yangpyeong
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Changwon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Changwon come out ahead of Yangpyeong on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Changwon's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Changwon Clean Sheet 68%
Yangpyeong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Changwon Yangpyeong
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.34 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Yangpyeong
2:1
May 9, 2026 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Changwon
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Yangpyeong
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Changwon
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Changwon
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Changwon 50 / 100
Yangpyeong 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Changwon Yangpyeong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Changwon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Yangpyeong has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Changwon found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Yangpyeong registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Changwon VS Yangpyeong
1.38 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Changwon

(Home)
03 Oct
Changwon
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
20 Sept
Gyeongju KHNP
2 : 1
Changwon
13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1
Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1
Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3
Changwon
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Yangpyeong

(Away)
03 Oct
Changwon
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
13 Sept
Yangpyeong
0 : 2
Pocheon
06 Sept
Yangpyeong
1 : 3
Siheung Citizen
29 Aug
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Yangpyeong
22 Aug
Yangpyeong
3 : 3
Gyeongju KHNP
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)