Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Byeong-beom K.
73'
73'
No Geon-Woo
75'
75'
Ryu Ji-Min
AI Match Summary
The K3 League game between Changwon and Yeoju Citizen finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Yeoju Citizen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Changwon's 1.31 goals per match outpaces what Yeoju Citizen have produced (1.2).
- 64% — that's where the model lands on Yeoju Citizen taking it.
- Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Changwon Clean Sheet 14%
Yeoju Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Changwon | Yeoju Citizen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Yeoju Citizen
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 K3 League
Changwon vs Yeoju Citizen
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 K3 League
Changwon vs Yeoju Citizen
2:1
Jun 14, 2025 K3 League
Yeoju Citizen vs Changwon
1:2
Aug 25, 2024 K3 League
Changwon vs Yeoju Citizen
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Changwon Compare
Top Goalscorer Byeong-beom K.
1 Goals Assists Leader No Geon-Woo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Yeoju Citizen Compare
Top Goalscorer Ryu Ji-Min
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Changwon 27 / 100
Yeoju Citizen 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Changwon Yeoju Citizen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Yeoju Citizen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yeoju Citizen let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Changwon scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Difficult form: Yeoju Citizen registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Changwon VS Yeoju Citizen
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Changwon
(Home) 13 Sept
Siheung Citizen
3 : 1 Changwon
05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1 Daejeon Korail
22 Aug
Busan Kyotong
4 : 3 Changwon
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1 Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5 Gimhae
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05 Sept
Changwon
0 : 1 Daejeon Korail
26 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1 Jeonbuk 2
15 Jul
Changwon
1 : 5 Gimhae
12 Jul
Changwon
1 : 1 Chuncheon
04 Jul
Changwon
3 : 0 Geumsan Insam
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Yeoju Citizen
(Away) 12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1 Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0 Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0 Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2 Yeoju Citizen
29 Jul
Yeoju Citizen
0 : 1 Dangjin Citizen
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12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1 Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Pocheon
1 : 0 Yeoju Citizen
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0 Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 2 Yeoju Citizen
25 Jul
Gangneung
1 : 1 Yeoju Citizen
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Siheung Citizen | 22 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 35:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pocheon | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 38:19 | 45 |
| 3 | Daejeon Korail | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 31:17 | 38 |
| 4 | Busan Kyotong | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 39:26 | 37 |
| 5 | Dangjin Citizen | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 44:36 | 31 |
| 6 | Chuncheon | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 39:35 | 29 |
| 7 | Gyeongju KHNP | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 30:28 | 29 |
| 8 | Ulsan Citizen | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 23:24 | 28 |
| 9 | Gangneung | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 20:30 | 27 |
| 10 | Changwon | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 23:25 | 26 |
| 11 | Yeoju Citizen | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:28 | 25 |
| 12 | Mokpo | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:35 | 21 |
| 13 | Yangpyeong | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | 17 |
| 14 | Jeonbuk 2 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 22:49 | 10 |
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)
