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Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Chanthaburi Stadium, Chanthaburi
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Match Events

58' Event
Weslley
66' Event
Weslley

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Chanthaburi and Chiangmai United finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chanthaburi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chanthaburi
20%
Draws
51%
Chiangmai United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chiangmai United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Chiangmai United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Chanthaburi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Chanthaburi Clean Sheet 16%
Chiangmai United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chanthaburi Chiangmai United
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 9 0
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2026 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Chanthaburi
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Thai League 2
Chiangmai United vs Chanthaburi
3:1
Nov 3, 2024 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United
1:1
Feb 7, 2024 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Chiangmai United
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chanthaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Weslley
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chiangmai United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chanthaburi 36 / 100
Chiangmai United 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chanthaburi Chiangmai United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Chanthaburi scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Chiangmai United let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Chanthaburi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chanthaburi VS Chiangmai United
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chanthaburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Uttaradit FC
4 : 3
Chanthaburi
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0
Chanthaburi
05 Sept
Chanthaburi
0 : 1
Khonkaen United
25 Apr
Chanthaburi
1 : 1
Police Tero
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Chiangmai United

(Away)
19 Sept
Muang Thong Utd
1 : 0
Chiangmai United
15 Sept
Chiangmai United
3 : 1
Khonkaen United
12 Sept
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1 : 2
Chiangmai United
05 Sept
Chiangmai United
0 : 1
Pattaya United
25 Apr
Kasetsart
3 : 4
Chiangmai United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)