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Chanthaburi vs Phrae United

Thailand Thailand

Thai League 2 2025/2026 Chanthaburi Stadium, Chanthaburi
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ito T.
42' Event
dos Santos Silva J. N.
45' Event
Suksum N.

AI Match Summary

The Thai League 2 2025/2026 game between Chanthaburi and Phrae United finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Phrae United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chanthaburi
35%
Draws
26%
Phrae United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chanthaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chanthaburi come out ahead of Phrae United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chanthaburi a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Thai League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Chanthaburi Clean Sheet 68%
Phrae United Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chanthaburi Phrae United
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 6
Draws 9 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.18 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.56
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Phrae United
2:3
Nov 1, 2025 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Chanthaburi
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Phrae United
2:2
Nov 29, 2024 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Chanthaburi
6:2
Feb 3, 2024 Thai League 2
Phrae United vs Chanthaburi
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chanthaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Suksum N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Weslley
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Phrae United Compare

Top Goalscorer Ito T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader dos Santos Silva J. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chanthaburi 68 / 100
Phrae United 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chanthaburi Phrae United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chanthaburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Chanthaburi scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Phrae United conceded in 78% of 27 recent games.

Chanthaburi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chanthaburi VS Phrae United
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chanthaburi

(Home)
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0
Chanthaburi
05 Sept
Chanthaburi
0 : 1
Khonkaen United
25 Apr
Chanthaburi
1 : 1
Police Tero
18 Apr
Pattani
2 : 1
Chanthaburi
04 Apr
Songkhla
1 : 1
Chanthaburi
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Phrae United

(Away)
13 Sept
Phrae United
0 : 0
Nakhon Pathom
06 Sept
Chainat Hornbill
3 : 1
Phrae United
25 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 2
Nakhon Pathom
18 Apr
Police Tero
3 : 1
Phrae United
05 Apr
Phrae United
0 : 0
Pattaya United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rasisalai United 34 20 11 3 64:35 71
2 Sisaket United 34 16 12 6 49:31 60
3 Pattani 34 16 10 8 49:45 58
4 Nong Bua Pitchaya 34 16 6 12 59:59 54
5 Police Tero 34 15 8 11 50:44 53
6 Chainat Hornbill 34 12 10 12 50:46 46
7 Khonkaen United 34 11 12 11 60:52 45
8 Mahasarakham 34 12 9 13 47:42 45
9 Trat FC 34 12 8 14 49:53 44
10 Chiangmai United 34 14 1 19 55:58 43
11 Phrae United 34 10 13 11 40:50 43
12 Pattaya United 34 10 12 12 45:42 42
13 Songkhla 34 11 8 15 37:46 41
14 Chanthaburi 34 10 10 14 44:46 40
15 Nakhon Pathom 34 10 9 15 29:37 39
16 Kasetsart 34 9 11 14 46:49 38
17 Nakhon Si United 34 8 12 14 32:54 36
18 Bangkok FC 34 9 8 17 40:56 35
19 Lampang F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Thai League 1 (Main)
Promotion - Thai League 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)