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Chanthaburi vs Raj Pracha

Thailand Thailand

Thai FA Cup 2024/2025
Chanthaburi Logo

Chanthaburi

2 - 1
FT
Raj Pracha Logo

Raj Pracha

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Tiago Chulapa
73' Event
Tiago Chulapa
84' Event
Srisuwan N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chanthaburi in this Thai FA Cup 2024/2025 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Chanthaburi
30%
Draws
31%
Raj Pracha
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chanthaburi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chanthaburi lately — more wins on the board than Raj Pracha.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Chanthaburi taking it.
  • Chanthaburi have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Raj Pracha, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Raj Pracha here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chanthaburi Clean Sheet 20%
Raj Pracha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chanthaburi Raj Pracha
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 13 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.28 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2025 Thai FA Cup
Chanthaburi vs Raj Pracha
2:1
Sep 1, 2012 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Raj Pracha
2:3
Mar 28, 2012 Thai League 2
Raj Pracha vs Chanthaburi
4:0
Oct 1, 2011 Thai League 2
Chanthaburi vs Raj Pracha
0:2
Apr 16, 2011 Thai League 2
Raj Pracha vs Chanthaburi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chanthaburi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tiago Chulapa
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Raj Pracha Compare

Top Goalscorer Srisuwan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chanthaburi 40 / 100
Raj Pracha 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chanthaburi Raj Pracha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chanthaburi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Chanthaburi's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Raj Pracha has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Chanthaburi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chanthaburi VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chanthaburi

(Home)
20 Sept
Uttaradit FC
4 : 3
Chanthaburi
17 Sept
Chanthaburi
2 : 0
Kasetsart
13 Sept
Kanchanaburi
0 : 0
Chanthaburi
05 Sept
Chanthaburi
0 : 1
Khonkaen United
25 Apr
Chanthaburi
1 : 1
Police Tero
Page 1 of 8

Raj Pracha

(Away)
09 Apr
Chanthaburi
2 : 1
Raj Pracha
29 Jan
Raj Pracha
1 : 0
Muangnont
30 Apr
Phrae United
2 : 0
Raj Pracha
23 Apr
Raj Pracha
0 : 2
Customs Utd
09 Apr
Krabi
1 : 1
Raj Pracha
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Khonkaen FC 3
Cha Choeng Sao 1
Sukhothai 4
Muang Loei Utd 0
Bangkok Utd 3
Nong Bua Pitchaya 0
Nakhon Pathom 0
Muang Thong Utd 4
Bangkok FC 2
Suphanburi FC 3
Ratchaburi 3
Thai Navy 0
Phrae United 1
Rayong FC 0
Nakhon Si United 3
Lampang F.C. 2
Kasem Bundit 0
Chanthaburi 1
Raj Pracha 1
Muangnont 0
Mahasarakham 0
Buriram United F.C. 5
Chiangrai Utd 2
Lamphun Warrior 0
Kamphaeng Phet 0
Samut Sakhon City 2
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 2
Chonburi 1
Huasamrong 0
Surin City 1
Lopburi City 0
Pathum United 3
1/8-finals
Khonkaen FC 0
Sukhothai 1
Bangkok Utd 1
Muang Thong Utd 2
Suphanburi FC 1
Ratchaburi 7
Phrae United 2
Nakhon Si United 1
Chanthaburi 2
Raj Pracha 1
Buriram United F.C. 2
Chiangrai Utd 1
Samut Sakhon City 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 4
Surin City 1
Pathum United 4
Quarter-finals
Sukhothai 2
Muang Thong Utd 5
Ratchaburi 7
Phrae United 1
Chanthaburi 0
Buriram United F.C. 1
Nakhon Ratchasima FC 1
Pathum United 3
Semi-finals
Muang Thong Utd 3
Ratchaburi 2
Buriram United F.C. 3
Pathum United 0
Final
Muang Thong Utd 2
Buriram United F.C. 3