Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chapada U20 vs Acao U20

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense U20 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Matogrossense U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chapada U20
20%
Draws
40%
Acao U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Acao U20 have won more games recently than Chapada U20.
  • Model gives Chapada U20 a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Chapada U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Acao U20 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapada U20 Acao U20
Matches Played 14 20
Wins 3 4
Draws 2 7
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 0.64 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.93 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Matogrossense U20
Chapada U20 vs Acao U20
3:0
Jun 6, 2026 Matogrossense U20
Acao U20 vs Chapada U20
0:0
Aug 10, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Chapada U20 vs Acao U20
2:2
Jul 24, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Acao U20 vs Chapada U20
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapada U20 84 / 100
Acao U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapada U20 Acao U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapada U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Acao U20 conceded in 80% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Acao U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Chapada U20 found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (14 games).

Scoring Trends

Chapada U20 VS Acao U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapada U20

(Home)
04 Jul
Paulistano FC U20
2 : 0
Chapada U20
30 Jun
Chapada U20
0 : 4
Cuiaba U20
27 Jun
Chapada U20
3 : 0
Acao U20
14 Jun
Cuiaba U20
3 : 1
Chapada U20
06 Jun
Acao U20
0 : 0
Chapada U20
Page 1 of 3

Acao U20

(Away)
04 Jul
Acao U20
0 : 12
Cuiaba U20
27 Jun
Chapada U20
3 : 0
Acao U20
20 Jun
Acao U20
0 : 1
Paulistano FC U20
15 Jun
Paulistano FC U20
0 : 1
Acao U20
06 Jun
Acao U20
0 : 0
Chapada U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC U20 6 4 2 0 13:1 14
2 Luverdense U20 6 3 3 0 9:2 12
3 Sport Sinop U20 6 2 1 3 8:8 7
4 Sorriso EC U20 6 0 0 6 2:21 0
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz MT U20 4 2 1 1 5:9 7
2 Campo Novo U20 4 2 0 2 10:9 6
3 Dom Bosco U20 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mixto U20 6 3 3 0 10:5 12
2 Chapada U20 6 2 1 3 5:8 7
3 Acao U20 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
4 Uirapuru U20 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba U20 6 5 1 0 32:3 16
2 Uniao Rondonopolis U20 6 4 0 2 9:6 12
3 Academia U20 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
4 SE Vila Aurora U20 6 1 0 5 5:31 3
Promotion - Matogrossense U20 2025 (Play Offs)