Sport Picks
Chapada vs Uniao Rondonopolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Uniao Rondonopolis have shipped 1.23 goals a game lately, while Chapada have conceded 1.05 and scored 1.86. Head-to-head, Chapada have won 1 to Uniao Rondonopolis's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 23, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.51 vs 0.85, favoring Chapada. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Chapada carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Chapada's way, sitting at 80%.
- Chapada have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Chapada, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chapada | Uniao Rondonopolis |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 22 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.05 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.51 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chapada found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (22 games).
Defensive concern: Uniao Rondonopolis conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Chapada remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Chapada
(Home)Uniao Rondonopolis
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Rondonopolis | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Chapada | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Santa Cruz MT | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 4 | Várzea Grande EC | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9:13 | 6 |
| 5 | Uirapuru | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cuiaba | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Sorriso EC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Cacerense | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Campo Novo | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
