Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chapadinha vs IAPE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Vinicius Barata
45' Event
Naoh
50' Event
Vagalume

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2023 game between Chapadinha and IAPE finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IAPE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Chapadinha
30%
Draws
47%
IAPE
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: IAPE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • IAPE carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 23% — that's where the model lands on Chapadinha taking it.
  • Regular Maranhense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Chapadinha Clean Sheet 68%
IAPE Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapadinha IAPE
Matches Played 21 40
Wins 4 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.02
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2023 Maranhense
Chapadinha vs IAPE
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapadinha Compare

Top Goalscorer Vagalume
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

IAPE Compare

Top Goalscorer Vinicius Barata
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naoh
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapadinha 50 / 100
IAPE 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapadinha IAPE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapadinha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

IAPE lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Chapadinha found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (21 games).

Defensive concern: IAPE conceded in 55% of 40 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS IAPE
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapadinha

(Home)
02 Apr
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Chapadinha
27 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 3
Sampaio Correa
24 Mar
Tuntum
5 : 4
Chapadinha
16 Mar
Imperatriz
1 : 0
Chapadinha
03 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 5

IAPE

(Away)
07 Jun
Maracana
2 : 0
IAPE
31 May
IAPE
1 : 3
Sampaio Correa
23 May
IAPE
1 : 1
Iguatu
16 May
Moto Club
2 : 2
IAPE
09 May
IAPE
1 : 2
Parnahyba
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sampaio Correa 3 3 0 0 5:0 9
2 IAPE 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
3 Chapadinha 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Pinheiro 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2023 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 3 2 1 0 9:1 7
2 Moto Club 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Cordino EC 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
4 Sao Jose (MA) 3 0 0 3 3:13 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2023 (First stage - Play Offs)