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Chapadinha vs Imperatriz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2024
Chapadinha Logo

Chapadinha

0 - 1
FT
Imperatriz Logo

Imperatriz

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Cafe
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Imperatriz in this Maranhense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Imperatriz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Chapadinha
30%
Draws
62%
Imperatriz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Imperatriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Imperatriz lately — more wins on the board than Chapadinha.
  • Win probability leans Imperatriz's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Chapadinha Clean Sheet 20%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapadinha Imperatriz
Matches Played 21 42
Wins 4 15
Draws 4 13
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.1 0.98
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Chapadinha
1:0
Jan 27, 2024 Maranhense
Chapadinha vs Imperatriz
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapadinha Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Imperatriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Cafe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapadinha 16 / 100
Imperatriz 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapadinha Imperatriz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperatriz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperatriz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 42 matches.

Chapadinha's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Chapadinha stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Imperatriz
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapadinha

(Home)
02 Apr
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Chapadinha
27 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 3
Sampaio Correa
24 Mar
Tuntum
5 : 4
Chapadinha
16 Mar
Imperatriz
1 : 0
Chapadinha
03 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 5

Imperatriz

(Away)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 14 9 4 1 27:9 31
2 Sampaio Correa 14 8 4 2 24:13 28
3 Imperatriz 14 7 4 3 17:12 25
4 Moto Club 14 4 5 5 15:20 17
5 Pinheiro 14 2 8 4 20:19 14
6 Tuntum 14 5 4 5 19:23 13
7 Chapadinha 14 2 3 9 11:23 9
8 Cordino EC 14 1 4 9 14:28 7
Promotion - Maranhense 2024 (Play Offs)