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Chapadinha vs Tuntum - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2024
Chapadinha Logo

Chapadinha

1 - 0
FT
Tuntum Logo

Tuntum

Our Tip

Match Events

67'
Amorim
67'
Amorim
90' Event
Cleiton
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chapadinha in this Maranhense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chapadinha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Chapadinha
35%
Draws
56%
Tuntum
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tuntum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tuntum lately — more wins on the board than Chapadinha.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Tuntum taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Chapadinha Clean Sheet 22%
Tuntum Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapadinha Tuntum
Matches Played 21 33
Wins 4 9
Draws 4 12
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.1 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Maranhense
Tuntum vs Chapadinha
5:4
Feb 3, 2024 Maranhense
Chapadinha vs Tuntum
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapadinha Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleiton
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Tuntum Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapadinha 24 / 100
Tuntum 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapadinha Tuntum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tuntum Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Tuntum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Chapadinha scored in 52% of their last 21 games.

Chapadinha went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tuntum
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapadinha

(Home)
02 Apr
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Chapadinha
27 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 3
Sampaio Correa
24 Mar
Tuntum
5 : 4
Chapadinha
16 Mar
Imperatriz
1 : 0
Chapadinha
03 Mar
Chapadinha
0 : 1
Moto Club
Page 1 of 5

Tuntum

(Away)
11 Feb
Tuntum
1 : 2
Imperatriz
07 Feb
Imperatriz
2 : 2
Tuntum
01 Feb
Moto Club
2 : 2
Tuntum
28 Jan
Tuntum
1 : 1
Sampaio Correa
25 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Tuntum
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maranhao 14 9 4 1 27:9 31
2 Sampaio Correa 14 8 4 2 24:13 28
3 Imperatriz 14 7 4 3 17:12 25
4 Moto Club 14 4 5 5 15:20 17
5 Pinheiro 14 2 8 4 20:19 14
6 Tuntum 14 5 4 5 19:23 13
7 Chapadinha 14 2 3 9 11:23 9
8 Cordino EC 14 1 4 9 14:28 7
Promotion - Maranhense 2024 (Play Offs)