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Chapecoense-SC vs Flamengo RJ

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Arena Condá
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapecoense-SC play Flamengo RJ in the Serie A Betano. Flamengo RJ are favorites here. Recently, Chapecoense-SC averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Flamengo RJ averaged 2.14 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. In past meetings, Chapecoense-SC won 0, Flamengo RJ won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 8, 2021 ended 2:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Chapecoense-SC and 1.00 for Flamengo RJ. This points to a Flamengo RJ double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Chapecoense-SC
25%
Draws
60%
Flamengo RJ
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Flamengo RJ

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC picked up more points recently compared to Flamengo RJ.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 57%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 23%
Flamengo RJ Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Flamengo RJ
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 4
Goals Scored 1.16 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2021 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Flamengo RJ
2:2
Jul 11, 2021 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC
2:1
Oct 6, 2019 Serie A Betano
Chapecoense-SC vs Flamengo RJ
0:1
May 12, 2019 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC
2:1
Sep 9, 2018 Serie A Betano
Flamengo RJ vs Chapecoense-SC
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 18 / 100
Flamengo RJ 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Flamengo RJ

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Flamengo RJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Flamengo RJ & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.7%
1.96
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chapecoense-SC attacking → ← attacking Flamengo RJ

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC scored in 63% of their last 32 games.

Flamengo RJ let in goals in 50% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Chapecoense-SC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Flamengo RJ lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 60
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Atletico-MG1873822:2324
10Corinthians1866618:1924
11Cruzeiro1866624:2824
12Botafogo RJ1764731:3122
13Vitoria1764721:2522
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Santos1856726:2921
16Gremio1856720:2321
17Vasco1855822:2920
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339