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Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Figueirense U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chapecoense-SC U20 play Figueirense U20 in the Catarinense U20. Chapecoense-SC U20 are favorites here. Recently, Chapecoense-SC U20 averaged 1.89 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. Figueirense U20 averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. In past meetings, Chapecoense-SC U20 won 3, Figueirense U20 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Chapecoense-SC U20 and 1.00 for Figueirense U20. This points to a Chapecoense-SC U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Chapecoense-SC U20
25%
Draws
15%
Figueirense U20
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Chapecoense-SC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Chapecoense-SC U20 picked up more points recently compared to Figueirense U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Chapecoense-SC U20 Clean Sheet 23%
Figueirense U20 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC U20 Figueirense U20
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 21 10
Draws 5 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.89 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Catarinense U20
Figueirense U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Figueirense U20
4:2
Aug 10, 2025 Catarinense U20
Figueirense U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
1:2
Jun 26, 2025 Catarinense U20
Chapecoense-SC U20 vs Figueirense U20
4:1
Apr 26, 2025 Catarinense U20
Figueirense U20 vs Chapecoense-SC U20
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC U20 59 / 100
Figueirense U20 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC U20 Figueirense U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapecoense-SC U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Chapecoense-SC U20 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chapecoense-SC U20 attacking → ← attacking Figueirense U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC U20 scored in 69% of their last 36 games.

Figueirense U20 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Chapecoense-SC U20 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Figueirense U20 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 38
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Barra FC U201383231:1627
2Avai U201275029:926
3Criciuma U201274121:725
4Chapecoense-SC U201272324:1823
5Concordia U201353513:1918
6Figueirense U201345419:1517
7Nacao U201343626:2215
8Carlos Renaux U201343613:2415
9Joinville U201313910:276
10Brusque U2014111214:434