Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chapecoense-SC vs Concordia

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Estadio Municipal Josue Annoni, Xanxere
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Cristian

AI Match Summary

Concordia in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Concordia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chapecoense-SC
35%
Draws
19%
Concordia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chapecoense-SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Concordia haven't matched Chapecoense-SC's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Chapecoense-SC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Chapecoense-SC Clean Sheet 20%
Concordia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapecoense-SC Concordia
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.18 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Catarinense
Concordia vs Chapecoense-SC
1:2
Oct 15, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Chapecoense-SC vs Concordia
1:1
Sep 10, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Concordia vs Chapecoense-SC
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Catarinense
Concordia vs Chapecoense-SC
2:1
Jan 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Chapecoense-SC vs Concordia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapecoense-SC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Concordia Compare

Top Goalscorer Cristian
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapecoense-SC 85 / 100
Concordia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapecoense-SC Concordia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapecoense-SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapecoense-SC scored in 76% of their last 34 games.

Concordia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Chapecoense-SC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chapecoense-SC VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapecoense-SC

(Home)
26 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
19 Sept
Atletico-MG
1 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
12 Sept
Chapecoense-SC
1 : 2
Internacional
06 Sept
Corinthians
1 : 2
Chapecoense-SC
30 Aug
Gremio
3 : 1
Chapecoense-SC
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Concordia

(Away)
22 Feb
Criciuma
4 : 0
Concordia
12 Feb
Concordia
2 : 2
Criciuma
07 Feb
Brusque
2 : 1
Concordia
01 Feb
Concordia
0 : 0
Brusque
25 Jan
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
5 : 1
Concordia
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