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Chapelton vs Arnett Gardens - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Jamaica Jamaica

Premier League 2025/2026 Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex, Kingston
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Thomas R.
10' Event
Reid F.
13' Event
Reid F.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Chapelton and Arnett Gardens finished 2-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arnett Gardens.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Chapelton
20%
Draws
51%
Arnett Gardens
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arnett Gardens

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arnett Gardens come out ahead of Chapelton on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Arnett Gardens taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Chapelton Clean Sheet 10%
Arnett Gardens Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chapelton Arnett Gardens
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.17 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Arnett Gardens
2:7
Jan 16, 2026 Premier League
Chapelton vs Arnett Gardens
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Chapelton
1:0
Mar 7, 2025 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Chapelton
5:0
Dec 30, 2024 Premier League
Arnett Gardens vs Chapelton
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapelton Compare

Top Goalscorer Gordon R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Howe N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Arnett Gardens Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Reid F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapelton 10 / 100
Arnett Gardens 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chapelton Arnett Gardens

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arnett Gardens Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Arnett Gardens has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Chapelton's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Chapelton stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapelton VS Arnett Gardens
1.88 Goals Scored 2.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chapelton

(Home)
05 Oct
Chapelton
0 : 6
Waterhouse
27 Sept
Tivoli
1 : 1
Chapelton
20 Sept
Chapelton
2 : 1
Molynes United
13 Sept
Montego Bay
2 : 0
Chapelton
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
Page 1 of 6

Arnett Gardens

(Away)
06 Oct
Arnett Gardens
1 : 1
Portmore
27 Sept
Cavalier
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
22 Sept
Arnett Gardens
3 : 0
FC Dunbeholden
15 Sept
Racing United
3 : 2
Arnett Gardens
06 May
Chapelton
2 : 7
Arnett Gardens
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mount Pleasant 39 20 14 5 69:25 74
2 Montego Bay 39 21 8 10 79:45 71
3 Portmore 39 17 15 7 54:35 66
4 Waterhouse 39 19 8 12 51:32 65
5 Cavalier 39 19 4 16 57:41 61
6 Racing United 39 14 18 7 53:34 60
7 Arnett Gardens 39 17 7 15 68:46 58
8 Chapelton 39 14 7 18 42:57 49
9 FC Dunbeholden 39 13 9 17 40:53 48
10 Tivoli 39 11 11 17 37:58 44
11 Treasure Beach 39 10 13 16 43:59 43
12 Molynes United 39 9 15 15 45:47 42
13 Harbour View 39 9 12 18 53:73 39
14 Spanish Town Police 39 7 5 27 25:111 26
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)