Sport Picks

Jamaica

Premier League Anthony Spaulding Sports Complex

Chapelton

2 - 0

FC Dunbeholden

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Pennycooke O.

Own Goal

83'

Williams L.

87'

Watkin C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Chapelton in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chapelton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Chapelton

33%

Draws

27%

FC Dunbeholden

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chapelton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Attack-wise there's a gap: Chapelton at 2 per game, FC Dunbeholden at 1.38.
Win probability leans Chapelton's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%

Chapelton Clean Sheet 68%

FC Dunbeholden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Chapelton	FC Dunbeholden
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	11
Draws	5	6
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	2	1.38
Goals Conceded	2	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Premier League

Chapelton vs FC Dunbeholden

Possession: 51% - 43% Cards: 4 - 0

2:0

Mar 1, 2026 Premier League

Chapelton vs FC Dunbeholden

Possession: 54% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Dec 14, 2025 Premier League

FC Dunbeholden vs Chapelton

Possession: 57% - 46% Cards: 2 - 2

0:0

Apr 3, 2025 Premier League

FC Dunbeholden vs Chapelton

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

0:1

Jan 29, 2025 Premier League

Chapelton vs FC Dunbeholden

Possession: 49% - 42% Cards: 3 - 3

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chapelton Compare

Top Goalscorer Williams L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.54

Avg xA / game 1

FC Dunbeholden Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chapelton 50 / 100

FC Dunbeholden 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Chapelton FC Dunbeholden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Dunbeholden has conceded goals in 68% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Difficult form: FC Dunbeholden registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Chapelton scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Chapelton VS FC Dunbeholden

2 Goals Scored 1.38

2 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mount Pleasant	39	20	14	5	69:25	74
2	Montego Bay	39	21	8	10	79:45	71
3	Portmore	39	17	15	7	54:35	66
4	Waterhouse	39	19	8	12	51:32	65
5	Cavalier	39	19	4	16	57:41	61
6	Racing United	39	14	18	7	53:34	60
7	Arnett Gardens	39	17	7	15	68:46	58
8	Chapelton	39	14	7	18	42:57	49
9	FC Dunbeholden	39	13	9	17	40:53	48
10	Tivoli	39	11	11	17	37:58	44
11	Treasure Beach	39	10	13	16	43:59	43
12	Molynes United	39	9	15	15	45:47	42
13	Harbour View	39	9	12	18	53:73	39
14	Spanish Town Police	39	7	5	27	25:111	26