Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Charleroi B vs St. Liege U23

Belgium Belgium

National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

47' Event
Lokembo K.
90' Event
Kalonji O.
90'
Benaets Q.

AI Match Summary

The National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 game between Charleroi B and St. Liege U23 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward St. Liege U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Charleroi B
30%
Draws
31%
St. Liege U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleroi B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Charleroi B come out ahead of St. Liege U23 on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Charleroi B Clean Sheet 18%
St. Liege U23 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi B St. Liege U23
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Charleroi B vs St. Liege U23
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Charleroi B
1:0
Feb 8, 2026 National Division 1 - ACFF
Charleroi B vs St. Liege U23
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Charleroi B
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 National Division 1 - ACFF
St. Liege U23 vs Charleroi B
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charleroi B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

St. Liege U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lokembo K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalonji O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi B 32 / 100
St. Liege U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi B St. Liege U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi B's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

St. Liege U23 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Charleroi B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi B VS St. Liege U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Charleroi B

(Home)
19 Sept
Union Rochefortoise
1 : 1
Charleroi B
12 Sept
RWDM Brussels
1 : 0
Charleroi B
06 Sept
Charleroi B
2 : 2
Flenu
30 Aug
Charleroi B
1 : 0
Renaissance Mons
26 Aug
Tubize-Braine
1 : 0
Charleroi B
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St. Liege U23

(Away)
19 Sept
St. Gilloise 2
1 : 0
St. Liege U23
13 Sept
Habay La Neuve
0 : 0
St. Liege U23
06 Sept
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Meux
30 Aug
St. Liege U23
0 : 1
Tubize-Braine
26 Aug
OC Charleroi
0 : 5
St. Liege U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tubize-Braine 22 14 5 3 49:20 47
2 Virton 22 14 5 3 61:35 47
3 Renaissance Mons 22 13 5 4 42:17 44
4 Meux 22 10 6 6 38:28 36
5 Habay La Neuve 22 10 6 6 38:35 36
6 Union Rochefortoise 22 9 4 9 33:40 31
7 Charleroi B 22 9 3 10 36:38 30
8 Stockay-Warfusee 22 7 5 10 22:35 26
9 St. Gilloise 2 22 7 3 12 36:45 24
10 Namur 22 4 4 14 30:50 16
11 Crossing Schaerbeek 22 4 4 14 24:44 16
12 St. Liege U23 22 3 6 13 25:47 15
Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - National Division 1 - ACFF 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)