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Charleroi vs Club Brugge

Belgium Belgium

Belgian Cup Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Guiagon P.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Guiagon P.
Assist: Titraoui Y.
61'
Sub
Sabbe K. In: Diakhon M.
Out: Sabbe K.

AI Match Summary

Charleroi in this Belgian Cup matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charleroi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Charleroi
17%
Draws
70%
Club Brugge
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Club Brugge

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Charleroi haven't matched Club Brugge's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Club Brugge's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Charleroi Clean Sheet 10%
Club Brugge Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charleroi Club Brugge
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.38 3.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Club Brugge
1:2
Jan 13, 2026 Belgian Cup
Charleroi vs Club Brugge
2:0
Nov 22, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Club Brugge vs Charleroi
1:0
Mar 16, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Club Brugge vs Charleroi
4:2
Sep 27, 2024 Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi vs Club Brugge
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charleroi Compare

Top Goalscorer Guiagon P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Club Brugge Compare

Avg xG / game 2.95
Avg xA / game 1.81

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charleroi 14 / 100
Club Brugge 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charleroi Club Brugge

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charleroi scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Club Brugge conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Charleroi has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charleroi VS Club Brugge
1.38 Goals Scored 3.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
RFC Liege0
Charleroi1
KV Mechelen2
Lierse SK1
RFC Seraing1
Leuven3
Club Brugge6
Eendracht Aalst1
Dender4
OC Charleroi2
SK Beveren1
St. Liege2
Tubize-Braine0
Royale Union SG3
Belisia Bilzen1
Waregem4
Genk3
RWDM Brussels0
Ninove0
Anderlecht2
Cercle Brugge1
Kortrijk0
Gent5
Patro Eisden0
Antwerp3
Eupen1
Knokke0
St. Truiden1
Beerschot VA3
Westerlo2
Heist1
RAAL La Louviere2
1/8-finals
Charleroi2
KV Mechelen0
Leuven1
Club Brugge2
Dender3
St. Liege2
Royale Union SG2
Waregem1
Genk1
Anderlecht3
Cercle Brugge1
Gent3
Antwerp4
St. Truiden3
Beerschot VA1
RAAL La Louviere2
Quarter-finals
Charleroi2
Club Brugge0
Dender0
Royale Union SG2
Anderlecht1
Gent0
Antwerp2
RAAL La Louviere1
Semi-finals
Charleroi1
Royale Union SG4
Anderlecht4
Antwerp1
Final
Royale Union SG3
Anderlecht1