Sport Picks
Charleston vs Birmingham Legion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL Championship Patriots Point Soccer Complex, Mount Pleasant, SC 
Match Events
14'
14'
Smith G.
25'
25'
Williams R.
27'
27'
Shashoua S.
AI Match Summary
The USL Championship game between Charleston and Birmingham Legion finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charleston.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charleston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Charleston carry the better recent record into this one.
- Charleston are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Charleston Clean Sheet 17%
Birmingham Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charleston | Birmingham Legion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.1 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Charleston
2:2
Mar 21, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Birmingham Legion
3:2
Oct 25, 2025 USL Championship
Charleston vs Birmingham Legion
2:1
Jul 3, 2025 USL Championship
Birmingham Legion vs Charleston
0:0
Jul 5, 2024 USL Championship
Charleston vs Birmingham Legion
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charleston Compare
Top Goalscorer Swan C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ycaza E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Birmingham Legion Compare
Top Goalscorer Williams R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Shashoua S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charleston 48 / 100
Birmingham Legion 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charleston Birmingham Legion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charleston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charleston's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Birmingham Legion let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Charleston went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Charleston VS Birmingham Legion
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Charleston
(Home) 26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
30 Aug
Las Vegas Lights
0 : 2 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charleston
2 : 0 Rhode Island
19 Sept
Charleston
1 : 0 Monterey Bay
02 Sept
Charleston
1 : 2 Hartford Athletic
24 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Miami FC
01 Aug
Charleston
5 : 0 Brooklyn FC
Page 1 of 3
Birmingham Legion
(Away) 03 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Birmingham Legion
23 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 0 Brooklyn FC
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
17 Sept
Birmingham Legion
4 : 4 New Mexico
12 Sept
Birmingham Legion
2 : 2 Charleston
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Detroit City
1 : 0 Birmingham Legion
19 Sept
Tampa Bay
4 : 0 Birmingham Legion
05 Sept
Indy Eleven
2 : 2 Birmingham Legion
29 Aug
Hartford Athletic
3 : 2 Birmingham Legion
16 Aug
Colorado Springs
3 : 2 Birmingham Legion
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 46:25 | 52 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 33:20 | 47 |
| 3 | Charleston | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 52:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 29:26 | 39 |
| 5 | Rhode Island | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39:29 | 38 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 28:27 | 38 |
| 7 | Louisville City | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 43:42 | 37 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 38:45 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 33:33 | 34 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 26 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 32:44 | 24 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 36:43 | 23 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 27:55 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 32:73 | 14 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 46:35 | 47 |
| 2 | New Mexico | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:32 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 37:25 | 44 |
| 4 | Lexington | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49:33 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 32:25 | 42 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 36:42 | 39 |
| 8 | San Antonio FC | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29:29 | 38 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35:38 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 33:35 | 34 |
| 11 | Phoenix Rising | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 36:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 29:47 | 21 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
