Sport Picks
Charleston vs Sacramento Republic
USA
USL Championship Patriots Point Soccer Complex, Mount Pleasant, SC 
Match Events
24'
24'
Foster M.
27'
27'
Collins N.
31'
31'
Rodriguez M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this USL Championship matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
60%
22%
18%
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Charleston
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
82%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sacramento Republic haven't matched Charleston's recent run of results.
- 60% — that's where the model lands on Charleston taking it.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Charleston Clean Sheet 68%
Sacramento Republic Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charleston | Sacramento Republic |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 2.38 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.38 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 18, 2026 USL Championship
Charleston vs Sacramento Republic
1:1
Oct 23, 2025 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Charleston
1:0
Sep 7, 2024 USL Championship
Charleston vs Sacramento Republic
2:1
Mar 19, 2023 USL Championship
Sacramento Republic vs Charleston
1:1
Jul 30, 2022 USL Championship
Charleston vs Sacramento Republic
2:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charleston Compare
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19
Sacramento Republic Compare
Top Goalscorer Ajago F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charleston 68 / 100
Sacramento Republic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charleston Sacramento Republic
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Charleston scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Sacramento Republic let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Charleston remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Charleston VS Sacramento Republic
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Charleston
(Home) 26 Jul
Colorado Springs
2 : 1 Charleston
18 Jul
Charleston
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
11 Jul
Charleston
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
04 Jul
Indy Eleven
2 : 0 Charleston
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1 Loudoun United
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Charleston
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
11 Jul
Charleston
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
24 Jun
Charleston
4 : 1 Loudoun United
13 Jun
Charleston
5 : 1 FC Tulsa
06 Jun
Charleston
1 : 0 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Page 1 of 3
Sacramento Republic
(Away) 26 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3 Sacramento Republic
18 Jul
Charleston
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0 Sacramento Republic
09 Jul
Sacramento Republic
2 : 1 Rhode Island
21 Jun
Sacramento Republic
0 : 1 New Mexico
Page 1 of 6
26 Jul
Oakland Roots
1 : 3 Sacramento Republic
18 Jul
Charleston
1 : 1 Sacramento Republic
12 Jul
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 0 Sacramento Republic
14 Jun
Colorado Springs
0 : 1 Sacramento Republic
31 May
Phoenix Rising
2 : 0 Sacramento Republic
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 28:15 | 35 |
| 2 | Charleston | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 32:24 | 27 |
| 3 | Detroit City | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:15 | 27 |
| 4 | Louisville City | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | 24 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 19:19 | 23 |
| 6 | Rhode Island | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Indy Eleven | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:17 | 21 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 22:29 | 21 |
| 9 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 12:14 | 20 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19:29 | 15 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:27 | 13 |
| 13 | Sporting Jax | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23:46 | 8 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange County SC | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 27:19 | 31 |
| 2 | San Antonio FC | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 22:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Colorado Springs | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 25 |
| 4 | New Mexico | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Sacramento Republic | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Tulsa | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Lexington | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | El Paso Locomotive | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 27:25 | 22 |
| 9 | Las Vegas Lights | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 10 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23:24 | 21 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 25:27 | 21 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:27 | 15 |
Promotion - USL Championship (Play Offs)
