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Charlotte FC vs Atlas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Martin J.
22'
Rios De Alba V. H.
37'
Ramirez P.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. This leg finished 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Charlotte FC
35%
Draws
25%
Atlas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Charlotte FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Charlotte FC have won more games recently than Atlas.
  • Model gives Charlotte FC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Charlotte FC have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Charlotte FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 68%
Atlas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte FC Atlas
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.78 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 Leagues Cup
Charlotte FC vs Atlas
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Abada L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Smalls T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Atlas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte FC 50 / 100
Atlas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte FC Atlas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlotte FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte FC's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Atlas has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Charlotte FC stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte FC VS Atlas
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte FC

(Home)
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3
Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2
Charlotte FC
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0
Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6

Atlas

(Away)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)