Sport Picks
Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
MLS Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC 
Match Events
23'
23'
Oregel S.
34'
34'
Diani D.
38'
38'
Saint-Maximin A.
AI Match Summary
Chicago Fire in this MLS matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chicago Fire.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Charlotte FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Charlotte FC haven't matched Chicago Fire's recent run of results.
- Model gives Charlotte FC a 37% chance of winning this.
- Regular MLS form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Chicago Fire have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 20%
Chicago Fire Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlotte FC | Chicago Fire |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.93 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire
0:1
Aug 2, 2026 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 MLS
Chicago Fire vs Charlotte FC
3:2
May 17, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire
1:4
Oct 2, 2024 MLS
Charlotte FC vs Chicago Fire
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlotte FC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Chicago Fire Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlotte FC 76 / 100
Chicago Fire 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlotte FC Chicago Fire
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charlotte FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Charlotte FC scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Chicago Fire conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.
Charlotte FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Charlotte FC VS Chicago Fire
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlotte FC
(Home) 26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
19 Sept
DC United
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
12 Sept
FC Cincinnati
3 : 3 Charlotte FC
09 Sept
CF Montreal
1 : 2 Charlotte FC
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0 Houston Dynamo
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
05 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 0 Houston Dynamo
22 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 DC United
15 Aug
Charlotte FC
3 : 1 Columbus Crew
11 Aug
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Pachuca
Page 1 of 4
Chicago Fire
(Away) 07 Oct
Chicago Fire
3 : 1 Vancouver Whitecaps
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
13 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 2 New England Revolution
10 Sept
Chicago Fire
1 : 1 Inter Miami
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charlotte FC
0 : 1 Chicago Fire
20 Sept
Nashville SC
3 : 0 Chicago Fire
05 Sept
Toronto FC
4 : 4 Chicago Fire
29 Aug
Seattle Sounders
2 : 2 Chicago Fire
26 Aug
Monterrey
2 : 1 Chicago Fire
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 60:29 | 50 |
| 2 | St. Louis City | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 48:36 | 47 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 50:42 | 47 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 34:32 | 44 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 43:30 | 41 |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 38 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 38:38 | 36 |
| 9 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 37:44 | 36 |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 48:51 | 32 |
| 11 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 40:44 | 32 |
| 12 | San Diego FC | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 47:47 | 32 |
| 13 | Austin FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 35:47 | 31 |
| 14 | Minnesota United | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 40:49 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 21 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 60 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:36 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 64:50 | 46 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 49:39 | 45 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 47:38 | 43 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 54:44 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 48:64 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 34:51 | 33 |
| 9 | New York City | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 41:36 | 33 |
| 10 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 55:64 | 33 |
| 11 | DC United | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 34:42 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 39:51 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 34:54 | 24 |
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
