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Stadium Background

Charlotte FC vs New York City

USA USA

MLS Bank of America Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mercau N.
Assist: Wolf H.
29'
Mercau N.
33'
Ojeda A.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Charlotte FC and New York City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Charlotte FC
39%
Draws
31%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Charlotte FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 10%
New York City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte FC New York City
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.63 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New York City
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 MLS
New York City vs Charlotte FC
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New York City
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 MLS
New York City vs Charlotte FC
0:1
Oct 28, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New York City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

New York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercau N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte FC 29 / 100
New York City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte FC New York City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte FC found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

New York City's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Charlotte FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte FC VS New York City
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307