Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Charlotte FC vs New York City

USA USA

MLS Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Mercau N.
Assist: Wolf H.
29'
Mercau N.
33'
Ojeda A.

AI Match Summary

The MLS game between Charlotte FC and New York City finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New York City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Charlotte FC
33%
Draws
27%
New York City
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Charlotte FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • New York City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Charlotte FC's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Charlotte FC Clean Sheet 20%
New York City Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte FC New York City
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New York City
0:1
Apr 18, 2026 MLS
New York City vs Charlotte FC
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New York City
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 MLS
New York City vs Charlotte FC
0:1
Oct 28, 2025 MLS
Charlotte FC vs New York City
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

New York City Compare

Top Goalscorer Mercau N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte FC 40 / 100
New York City 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte FC New York City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: New York City conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Charlotte FC's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Charlotte FC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte FC VS New York City
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte FC

(Home)
25 Jul
New York Red Bulls
0 : 2
Charlotte FC
23 Jul
Charlotte FC
2 : 2
Atlanta United
23 May
Charlotte FC
1 : 0
New England Revolution
16 May
Charlotte FC
3 : 1
Toronto FC
13 May
Charlotte FC
0 : 1
New York City
Page 1 of 6

New York City

(Away)
25 Jul
New York City
3 : 1
Chicago Fire
22 Jul
Columbus Crew
1 : 2
New York City
24 May
Nashville SC
2 : 1
New York City
20 May
Columbus Crew
1 : 0
New York City
16 May
New York Red Bulls
1 : 1
New York City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps16103337:1633
2Los Angeles FC18103534:1833
3San Jose Earthquakes17103435:2033
4Real Salt Lake1682628:2426
5Houston Dynamo1682623:2426
6FC Dallas1775532:2526
7St. Louis City1774623:2325
8Seattle Sounders1673619:2024
9Minnesota United1765619:2423
10Portland Timbers1763831:3221
11Los Angeles Galaxy1856724:2921
12San Diego FC1755731:2820
13Colorado Rapids17611026:2519
14Austin FC1745822:3517
15Sporting Kansas City17421118:4414
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC17123233:1239
2Inter Miami17114243:3037
3New England Revolution1692526:1929
4Chicago Fire1682630:2226
5New York City1774630:2325
6Charlotte FC1774628:2525
7FC Cincinnati1765641:4223
8New York Red Bulls1764726:3722
9DC United1757524:2722
10Orlando City1762928:4420
11Columbus Crew1754824:2619
12Toronto FC1737723:3116
13CF Montreal17431022:3315
14Philadelphia Union17341022:3113
15Atlanta United17331117:3012
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs)