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Charlotte Independence vs Central Valley Fuego

USA USA

USL League One 2024 American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Dimick C.
30' Event
Ciss O.
Assist: Belmar K.
31'
Djedje R.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One 2024 game between Charlotte Independence and Central Valley Fuego finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte Independence.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Charlotte Independence
33%
Draws
27%
Central Valley Fuego
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Charlotte Independence

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Central Valley Fuego haven't matched Charlotte Independence's recent run of results.
  • Charlotte Independence are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular USL League One 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Charlotte Independence have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 16%
Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte Independence Central Valley Fuego
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.63 0
Goals Conceded 2 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 24, 2024 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Central Valley Fuego
4:0
May 4, 2024 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Charlotte Independence
1:3
Aug 20, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Charlotte Independence
1:2
Jul 22, 2023 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Central Valley Fuego
1:2
Apr 22, 2023 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Central Valley Fuego
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Dimick C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ciss O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte Independence 39 / 100
Central Valley Fuego 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte Independence Central Valley Fuego

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Charlotte Independence scored in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Central Valley Fuego let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Charlotte Independence has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte Independence VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte Independence

(Home)
18 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 4
Chattanooga Red Wolves
11 Jul
Charleston
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
06 Jul
AV Alta FC
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
01 Jul
Charlotte Independence
2 : 1
Corpus Christi FC
24 Jun
Charlotte Independence
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 7

Central Valley Fuego

(Away)
26 Oct
Union Omaha
3 : 1
Central Valley Fuego
20 Oct
Central Valley Fuego
1 : 0
Greenville Triumph
15 Oct
One Knoxville
2 : 1
Central Valley Fuego
10 Oct
Central Valley Fuego
1 : 0
Spokane Velocity
03 Oct
Central Valley Fuego
0 : 1
Northern Colorado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118
Promotion - USL League One 2024 (Play Offs)