Sport Picks
Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 4-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Charlotte Independence have averaged 2.34 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against FC Naples's 1.14 scored and 1.76 conceded. Past meetings favor Charlotte Independence slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 4:3. xG projections (1.56 - 1.50) back Charlotte Independence to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Charlotte Independence carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Charlotte Independence have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor FC Naples, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlotte Independence | FC Naples |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 2.34 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Charlotte Independence scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
FC Naples's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Charlotte Independence went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
