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Stadium Background

Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples

USA USA

USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Alvarez L.
9'
Torrellas M.
21' Event
Arevalo W.
Assist: O'Connor K.

AI Match Summary

Charlotte Independence in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte Independence.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Charlotte Independence
6%
Draws
4%
FC Naples
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Charlotte Independence

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FC Naples haven't matched Charlotte Independence's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Charlotte Independence taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 20%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte Independence FC Naples
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 17 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 2.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples
4:3
Jun 3, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Charlotte Independence
1:5
Oct 25, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Charlotte Independence
2:0
Sep 12, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs FC Naples
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Alvarez L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marou S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

FC Naples Compare

Top Goalscorer Arevalo W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mastrantonio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte Independence 85 / 100
FC Naples 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte Independence FC Naples

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Charlotte Independence scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Charlotte Independence remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

FC Naples's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte Independence VS FC Naples
2.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha16101525:1831
2Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
3One Knoxville1493226:1230
4AV Alta FC1667323:1825
5Athletic Club Boise1673623:2324
6Fort Wayne1466220:1224
7Forward Madison1372422:1423
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Portland Hearts of Pine1555524:2420
10Chattanooga Red Wolves1261522:1519
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1433812:2412
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310