Sport Picks
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph
USA
USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC 
Match Events
30'
30'
Bubb Z.
47'
47'
Evans C.
54'
54'
Alvarez L.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Charlotte Independence and Greenville Triumph finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlotte Independence.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Charlotte Independence
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Greenville Triumph haven't matched Charlotte Independence's recent run of results.
- 80% — that's where the model lands on Charlotte Independence taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 18%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlotte Independence | Greenville Triumph |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 4 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Jun 24, 2026 USL Cup
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Aug 9, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph
4:5
Jun 15, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlotte Independence Compare
Top Goalscorer Marou S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Greenville Triumph Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlotte Independence 85 / 100
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlotte Independence Greenville Triumph
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Charlotte Independence Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charlotte Independence found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Defensive concern: Greenville Triumph conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
Charlotte Independence has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Greenville Triumph lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Charlotte Independence VS Greenville Triumph
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlotte Independence
(Home) 03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 4
Greenville Triumph
(Away) 03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 46:34 | 48 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 29 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 50:40 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:36 | 39 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 32:40 | 36 |
| 10 | FC Naples | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 32:44 | 34 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:58 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
