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Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL Cup American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Charlotte Independence Logo

Charlotte Independence

2 - 4
FT
Hartford Athletic Logo

Hartford Athletic

Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Anderson S.
22' Event
Anaku S.
Assist: Williams A.
26'
Bakero J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-4. This leg finished 2-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Charlotte Independence
35%
Draws
27%
Hartford Athletic
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Charlotte Independence

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Hartford Athletic haven't matched Charlotte Independence's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Charlotte Independence taking it.
  • Charlotte Independence have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Charlotte Independence, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Charlotte Independence have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 11%
Hartford Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte Independence Hartford Athletic
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.27 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 USL Cup
Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic
2:4
Oct 22, 2021 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Charlotte Independence
1:2
Oct 1, 2021 USL Championship
Hartford Athletic vs Charlotte Independence
1:2
Sep 11, 2021 USL Championship
Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic
2:0
Jun 13, 2021 USL Championship
Charlotte Independence vs Hartford Athletic
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Manin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Hartford Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Anaku S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Obalola A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte Independence 38 / 100
Hartford Athletic 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte Independence Hartford Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Charlotte Independence Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Charlotte Independence scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Charlotte Independence has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Hartford Athletic has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Charlotte Independence VS Hartford Athletic
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlotte Independence

(Home)
03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3
Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1
Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1
Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4
Westchester SC
Page 1 of 6

Hartford Athletic

(Away)
04 Oct
Hartford Athletic
0 : 1
Louisville City
25 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 2
Louisville City
20 Sept
Las Vegas Lights
1 : 1
Hartford Athletic
16 Sept
Hartford Athletic
2 : 0
Sporting Jax
12 Sept
Hartford Athletic
3 : 1
Tampa Bay
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Charlotte Independence 2
Hartford Athletic 4
Spokane Velocity 1
Colorado Springs 2
San Antonio FC 2
Miami FC 1
Tampa Bay 0
Louisville City 1
Semi-finals
Hartford Athletic 2
Colorado Springs 1
San Antonio FC 0
Louisville City 1
Final
Hartford Athletic 0
Louisville City 1