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Charlotte Independence vs Northern Colorado

USA USA

USL League One 2024 American Legion Memorial Stadium
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AI Match Summary

Charlotte Independence play Northern Colorado in the USL League One 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Charlotte Independence averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Northern Colorado averaged 2 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Charlotte Independence won 2, Northern Colorado won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 12, 2024 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.73 for Charlotte Independence and 1.56 for Northern Colorado. This points to a Northern Colorado double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Charlotte Independence
15%
Draws
48%
Northern Colorado
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Northern Colorado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Charlotte Independence picked up more points recently compared to Northern Colorado.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.73 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 15%
Northern Colorado Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlotte Independence Northern Colorado
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 21
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.81 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2024 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Northern Colorado
1:2
Jul 7, 2024 USL League One
Northern Colorado vs Charlotte Independence
0:1
May 26, 2024 USL Cup
Northern Colorado vs Charlotte Independence
3:2
Sep 3, 2023 USL League One
Northern Colorado vs Charlotte Independence
4:2
Jul 29, 2023 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Northern Colorado
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlotte Independence Compare

Top Goalscorer Corea D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Northern Colorado Compare

Top Goalscorer Langlois P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlotte Independence 36 / 100
Northern Colorado 45 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlotte Independence Northern Colorado

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Northern Colorado or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +27.6%
3.45
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Charlotte Independence attacking → ← attacking Northern Colorado

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlotte Independence scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Northern Colorado let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Charlotte Independence went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Northern Colorado lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

54 Points in last 5 67
2.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118