Sport Picks
Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One American Legion Memorial Stadium, Charlotte, NC 
Match Events
20'
20'
Manin R.
34'
34'
Marou S.
Assist: Saydee P.
41'
41'
Gabriel Cabral
AI Match Summary
Charlotte Independence in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Charlotte Independence.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Omaha
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Union Omaha haven't matched Charlotte Independence's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Union Omaha's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Union Omaha have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Charlotte Independence Clean Sheet 12%
Union Omaha Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Charlotte Independence | Union Omaha |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.31 | 1.86 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence
2:0
Jun 10, 2026 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha
2:0
Aug 21, 2025 USL League One
Union Omaha vs Charlotte Independence
4:1
Jul 12, 2025 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha
1:2
May 17, 2024 USL League One
Charlotte Independence vs Union Omaha
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Charlotte Independence Compare
Top Goalscorer Marou S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Alvarez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Union Omaha Compare
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Charlotte Independence 27 / 100
Union Omaha 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Charlotte Independence Union Omaha
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Omaha Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Charlotte Independence scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Union Omaha has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Charlotte Independence has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Charlotte Independence VS Union Omaha
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Charlotte Independence
(Home) 03 Oct
Sarasota Paradise
2 : 3 Charlotte Independence
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
19 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2 Charlotte Independence
17 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charlotte Independence
1 : 1 Fort Wayne
12 Sept
Charlotte Independence
5 : 4 Westchester SC
02 Sept
Charlotte Independence
3 : 2 Portland Hearts of Pine
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
Charlotte Independence
3 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
Page 1 of 4
Union Omaha
(Away) 26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
20 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 1 One Knoxville
16 Sept
Union Omaha
3 : 1 Spokane Velocity
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
06 Sept
Union Omaha
2 : 0 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
13 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
1 : 2 Union Omaha
26 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 0 Union Omaha
08 Aug
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 3 Union Omaha
01 Aug
Fort Wayne
0 : 2 Union Omaha
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
