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Charlton W vs Birmingham W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2 2025/2026 The Valley, London
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Leidhammar W.
Assist: Hurtre O.
40'
Muya K.
46'
Sub
Thestrup A. In: Kenney G.
Out: Thestrup A.

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2 2025/2026 game between Charlton W and Birmingham W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Birmingham W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Charlton W
15%
Draws
85%
Birmingham W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Birmingham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Charlton W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Birmingham W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Charlton W Clean Sheet 10%
Birmingham W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Charlton W Birmingham W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 2 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 WSL 2
Charlton W vs Birmingham W
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 WSL 2
Birmingham W vs Charlton W
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 WSL 2
Charlton W vs Birmingham W
1:1
Dec 15, 2024 WSL 2
Birmingham W vs Charlton W
0:0
Mar 31, 2024 WSL 2
Charlton W vs Birmingham W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Charlton W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Birmingham W Compare

Top Goalscorer Leidhammar W.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Charlton W 10 / 100
Birmingham W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Charlton W Birmingham W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Birmingham W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Charlton W scored in 74% of their last 34 games.

Birmingham W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Birmingham W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Charlton W VS Birmingham W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Charlton W

(Home)
04 Oct
Brighton W
5 : 1
Charlton W
30 Sept
Crystal Palace W
3 : 0
Charlton W
26 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 1
Manchester City W
23 Sept
Brighton W
4 : 0
Charlton W
19 Sept
Charlton W
1 : 4
London City Lionesses W
Page 1 of 7

Birmingham W

(Away)
04 Oct
Everton W
2 : 1
Birmingham W
30 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 4
Liverpool W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Everton W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
19 Sept
Chelsea W
2 : 0
Birmingham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Birmingham W 22 14 2 6 46:24 44
2 Crystal Palace W 22 13 5 4 44:26 44
3 Charlton W 22 12 6 4 31:21 42
4 Bristol City W 22 11 4 7 47:31 37
5 Southampton FC W 22 10 5 7 44:26 35
6 Newcastle Utd W 22 8 9 5 32:25 33
7 Nottingham W 22 9 3 10 27:35 30
8 Sunderland W 22 6 6 10 28:35 24
9 Ipswich W 22 6 5 11 26:42 23
10 Durham W 22 5 7 10 27:35 22
11 Sheffield Utd W 22 4 6 12 21:43 18
12 Portsmouth W 22 4 2 16 23:53 14
Promotion - WSL (Main)
Promotion - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)