Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chateauroux vs Paris 13 Atletico

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Mopila S.
53'
Sanou G.
55'
Cisse C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Chateauroux and Paris 13 Atletico finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paris 13 Atletico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Chateauroux
30%
Draws
33%
Paris 13 Atletico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chateauroux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Paris 13 Atletico carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Chateauroux are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular National 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 20%
Paris 13 Atletico Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Paris 13 Atletico
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Paris 13 Atletico
0:1
Sep 19, 2025 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Chateauroux
1:1
Mar 28, 2025 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Chateauroux
3:2
Nov 1, 2024 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Paris 13 Atletico
1:1
May 26, 2023 Ligue 3
Paris 13 Atletico vs Chateauroux
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 42 / 100
Paris 13 Atletico 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Paris 13 Atletico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paris 13 Atletico has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chateauroux remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Chateauroux scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS Paris 13 Atletico
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
22 Aug
Hauts Lyonnais
0 : 0
Chateauroux
01 Aug
Chateauroux
0 : 1
Bourges
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2
Chateauroux
09 May
Chateauroux
2 : 1
Sochaux
30 Apr
Dijon
1 : 2
Chateauroux
Page 1 of 6

Paris 13 Atletico

(Away)
20 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
2 : 1
Valenciennes
14 Aug
Villefranche
2 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
07 Aug
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Quevilly
28 Jul
Creteil
2 : 2
Paris 13 Atletico
18 Jul
Orleans
1 : 0
Paris 13 Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dijon 32 18 11 3 52:25 65
2 Sochaux 32 16 10 6 51:26 58
3 Rouen 32 14 13 5 43:29 55
4 Fleury-Merogis 32 15 9 8 47:30 54
5 Versailles 32 15 8 9 46:34 53
6 Orleans 32 14 9 9 42:42 51
7 Le Puy-en-Velay 32 12 11 9 45:38 47
8 Caen 32 8 16 8 39:34 40
9 Concarneau 32 8 14 10 32:37 38
10 Valenciennes 32 10 8 14 35:44 37
11 Aubagne FC 32 9 10 13 38:46 37
12 Villefranche 32 10 7 15 34:45 37
13 Quevilly 32 8 9 15 34:45 33
14 Paris 13 Atletico 32 7 11 14 26:41 32
15 Bourg Peronnas 32 8 7 17 25:44 31
16 Chateauroux 32 6 13 13 35:49 30
17 Stade Briochin 32 5 12 15 35:50 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)