Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Chateauroux vs Villefranche

France France

National 2025/2026 Stade Gaston Petit, Châteauroux
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Beneddine M.
19'
Diarra D.
32'
Etoga L.

AI Match Summary

The National 2025/2026 game between Chateauroux and Villefranche finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villefranche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Chateauroux
17%
Draws
13%
Villefranche
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Chateauroux

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villefranche come out ahead of Chateauroux on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chateauroux a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Chateauroux Clean Sheet 68%
Villefranche Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chateauroux Villefranche
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Villefranche
0:1
Oct 3, 2025 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Chateauroux
2:1
Apr 4, 2025 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Villefranche
2:2
Nov 8, 2024 Ligue 3
Villefranche vs Chateauroux
2:2
May 3, 2024 Ligue 3
Chateauroux vs Villefranche
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chateauroux 77 / 100
Villefranche 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chateauroux Villefranche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villefranche let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Chateauroux scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Chateauroux remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chateauroux VS Villefranche
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chateauroux

(Home)
15 May
Valenciennes
2 : 2
Chateauroux
09 May
Chateauroux
2 : 1
Sochaux
30 Apr
Dijon
1 : 2
Chateauroux
24 Apr
Chateauroux
0 : 2
Fleury-Merogis
17 Apr
Versailles
4 : 0
Chateauroux
Page 1 of 6

Villefranche

(Away)
15 Jul
Grenoble
5 : 2
Villefranche
15 May
Concarneau
2 : 2
Villefranche
02 May
Bourg Peronnas
1 : 0
Villefranche
24 Apr
Caen
3 : 0
Villefranche
17 Apr
Villefranche
3 : 1
Paris 13 Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dijon321811352:2565
2Sochaux321610651:2658
3Rouen321413543:2955
4Fleury-Merogis32159847:3054
5Versailles32158946:3453
6Orleans32149942:4251
7Le Puy-en-Velay321211945:3847
8Caen32816839:3440
9Concarneau328141032:3738
10Valenciennes321081435:4437
11Aubagne FC329101338:4637
12Villefranche321071534:4537
13Quevilly32891534:4533
14Paris 13 Atletico327111426:4132
15Bourg Peronnas32871725:4431
16Chateauroux326131335:4930
17Stade Briochin325121535:5027
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)