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Chatellerault vs Montlucon

France France

CFA - Group C 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2008/2009 game between Chatellerault and Montlucon finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chatellerault.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chatellerault
15%
Draws
34%
Montlucon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatellerault

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montlucon come out ahead of Chatellerault on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular CFA - Group C 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Chatellerault Clean Sheet 19%
Montlucon Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatellerault Montlucon
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.47 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Chatellerault vs Montlucon
5:2
Jan 24, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Chatellerault
2:1
Feb 16, 2008 National 2 - Group D
Montlucon vs Chatellerault
3:0
Sep 1, 2007 National 2 - Group D
Chatellerault vs Montlucon
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatellerault 31 / 100
Montlucon 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatellerault Montlucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chatellerault Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Chatellerault scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Montlucon has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Chatellerault has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chatellerault VS Montlucon
1.33 Goals Scored 0.88
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.88
67% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatellerault

(Home)
19 Nov
Chatellerault
0 : 1
Avoine
29 Oct
Chatellerault
4 : 2
SA Merignac
17 Nov
Chatellerault
0 : 2
Challans
30 May
Chatellerault
3 : 2
Bergerac
23 May
Luzenac
1 : 3
Chatellerault
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Montlucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Bergerac
17 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Viry-Chatillon
20 Nov
Montlucon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
29 May
Montlucon
4 : 2
Toulouse Fontaines Club
22 May
PSG II
1 : 6
Montlucon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzenac 34 20 9 5 59:26 103
2 Moulins 34 18 8 8 56:41 96
3 Pau 34 17 9 8 42:25 94
4 Fontenay 34 16 9 9 37:32 91
5 Moulins-Yzeure 34 15 9 10 60:43 88
6 Bordeaux II 34 14 10 10 41:35 86
7 Le Mans II 34 12 12 10 35:33 82
8 Romorantin 34 13 10 11 49:49 82
9 Lucon 34 12 11 11 39:37 81
10 Aurillac 34 10 14 10 48:44 78
11 Colomiers 34 9 14 11 33:32 75
12 Montlucon 34 9 12 13 43:54 73
13 Balma 34 9 9 16 47:54 70
14 Albi 34 10 6 18 27:42 70
15 Genets 34 9 8 17 35:53 69
16 Chatellerault 34 7 13 14 50:66 68
17 Stade Bordelais 34 7 11 16 27:47 66
18 Bergerac 34 4 16 14 32:47 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)