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Chatenoy W vs Aurillac W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Division 2 Women 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 Women 2010/2011 game between Chatenoy W and Aurillac W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chatenoy W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Chatenoy W
15%
Draws
0%
Aurillac W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chatenoy W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Aurillac W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Chatenoy W taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 Women 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • History favors Aurillac W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Chatenoy W Clean Sheet 15%
Aurillac W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatenoy W Aurillac W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 8
Draws 3 5
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 1.2 1.09
Goals Conceded 3.13 3.15
Expected Goals (xG) 2.33 1.52
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2012 Seconde Ligue Women
Aurillac W vs Chatenoy W
4:0
Nov 13, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Chatenoy W vs Aurillac W
3:4
May 29, 2011 Seconde Ligue Women
Chatenoy W vs Aurillac W
1:0
Sep 5, 2010 Seconde Ligue Women
Aurillac W vs Chatenoy W
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatenoy W 84 / 100
Aurillac W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatenoy W Aurillac W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chatenoy W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aurillac W has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Aurillac W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Chatenoy W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Chatenoy W VS Aurillac W
1.67 Goals Scored 1.38
1.67 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Chatenoy W

(Home)
25 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2
Caen W
11 Jan
Troyes W
1 : 3
Chatenoy W
12 Jan
Chatenoy W
1 : 2
Cannes W
27 May
Veore Montoison W
3 : 1
Chatenoy W
20 May
Chatenoy W
2 : 5
Monteux W
Page 1 of 6

Aurillac W

(Away)
20 May
Aurillac W
0 : 2
Metz ESAP W
13 May
Nimes W
4 : 0
Aurillac W
29 Apr
Aurillac W
0 : 5
Grenoble W
22 Apr
ETG Ambilly FC W
11 : 0
Aurillac W
31 Mar
Aurillac W
0 : 3
Montauban W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vendenheim W 22 20 1 1 64:15 83
2 Dijon W 22 13 5 4 40:21 66
3 Arras W 22 12 5 5 40:30 63
4 Bagneux W 22 10 10 2 41:16 62
5 Mars Bischheim W 22 11 4 7 36:38 59
6 Gravelines W 22 8 5 9 33:32 51
7 Metz W 22 8 5 9 34:31 51
8 Compiegne Club Oise W 22 7 6 9 26:33 49
9 Rouen W 22 5 5 12 25:35 42
10 Cormelles W 22 6 1 15 30:49 41
11 Leers OS W 22 3 6 13 23:47 37
12 Lille W 22 1 3 18 21:66 28
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2011/2012 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Soyaux W 22 17 2 3 69:18 75
2 Issy W 22 15 3 4 54:33 70
3 Conde-sur-Noireau W 22 13 4 5 54:26 65
4 Montigny-le-Bretonneux W 22 13 1 8 56:42 62
5 Orvault W 22 10 5 7 46:32 57
6 Angers W 22 9 2 11 40:45 51
7 USC Corne W 22 8 5 9 32:37 51
8 Rennes W 22 7 2 13 23:43 45
9 Tours W 22 6 5 11 31:53 45
10 Bordeaux W 22 6 3 13 28:45 43
11 Merignac W 22 6 1 15 35:56 41
12 Limoges Landouge Foot W 22 5 1 16 28:66 38
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2011/2012 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Muretaine W 22 17 5 0 77:21 78
2 Monteux W 22 13 6 3 47:19 67
3 Albi-Marssac W 22 12 6 4 54:21 64
4 Veore Montoison W 22 10 6 6 41:39 58
5 Grenoble W 22 9 5 8 41:26 54
6 Macon W 22 9 5 8 29:30 54
7 Nimes W 22 8 6 8 20:20 52
8 Aurillac W 22 8 3 11 35:47 49
9 US Blanzy Foot W 22 7 2 13 44:66 45
10 Chatenoy W 22 4 7 11 25:59 41
11 Besancon RC W 22 5 3 14 27:48 40
12 Aulnat Sportif W 22 1 4 17 21:65 29
Promotion - Division 1 Women 2011/2012 (Main)