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Chatham W vs Bridgwater United W

England England

Women's National League South 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chatham W play Bridgwater United W in the Women's National League South 2019/2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Chatham W averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.71 conceded. Bridgwater United W averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Chatham W won 1, Bridgwater United W won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Dec 4, 2022 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for Chatham W and 2.13 for Bridgwater United W. This points to a Chatham W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Chatham W
26%
Draws
36%
Bridgwater United W
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Chatham W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Chatham W picked up more points recently compared to Bridgwater United W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 46%
Chatham W Clean Sheet 10%
Bridgwater United W Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chatham W Bridgwater United W
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 1.44 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.71 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2022 Women's National League South
Chatham W vs Bridgwater United W
0:2
Oct 23, 2022 Women's National League South
Bridgwater United W vs Chatham W
0:1
Feb 6, 2022 Women's National League South
Bridgwater United W vs Chatham W
0:0
Sep 5, 2021 Women's National League South
Chatham W vs Bridgwater United W
0:0
Mar 1, 2020 Women's National League South
Chatham W vs Bridgwater United W
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chatham W 36 / 100
Bridgwater United W 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chatham W Bridgwater United W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Chatham W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Chatham W attacking → ← attacking Bridgwater United W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chatham W scored in 62% of their last 34 games.

Bridgwater United W let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Chatham W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bridgwater United W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 30
0.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
3.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75