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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Central Valley Fuego

USA USA

USL League One 2024 CHI Memorial Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Benson Bodden D. O.
Assist: Midence A.
36' Event
Cromwell R.
Own Goal
45'
Lukic S.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One 2024 game between Chattanooga Red Wolves and Central Valley Fuego finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Central Valley Fuego.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
33%
Draws
27%
Central Valley Fuego
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chattanooga Red Wolves come out ahead of Central Valley Fuego on wins alone.
  • Chattanooga Red Wolves are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 20%
Central Valley Fuego Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves Central Valley Fuego
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 3
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Central Valley Fuego
1:2
Apr 14, 2024 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
2:4
Sep 30, 2023 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Central Valley Fuego
3:1
Aug 6, 2023 USL League One
Central Valley Fuego vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:1
Apr 1, 2023 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Central Valley Fuego
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Central Valley Fuego Compare

Top Goalscorer Benson Bodden D. O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Carrera J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 40 / 100
Central Valley Fuego 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves Central Valley Fuego

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Central Valley Fuego conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Chattanooga Red Wolves scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Chattanooga Red Wolves remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118