Sport Picks
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
USA
USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN 
Match Events
31'
31'
Knapp M.
45'
45'
Hernandez P.
Assist: Hernandez O.
46'
46'
Sub
Knapp M. In: Vaughan J.
Out: Knapp M.
AI Match Summary
Chattanooga Red Wolves in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chattanooga Red Wolves.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Chattanooga Red Wolves have won more games recently than Greenville Triumph.
- Chattanooga Red Wolves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 20%
Greenville Triumph Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Chattanooga Red Wolves | Greenville Triumph |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph
3:1
Mar 14, 2026 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 USL League One
Greenville Triumph vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Greenville Triumph
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare
Top Goalscorer Knapp M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hernandez P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Greenville Triumph Compare
Top Goalscorer Larsen B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Chattanooga Red Wolves 85 / 100
Greenville Triumph 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Chattanooga Red Wolves Greenville Triumph
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Chattanooga Red Wolves scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Greenville Triumph conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.
Greenville Triumph's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Chattanooga Red Wolves VS Greenville Triumph
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Chattanooga Red Wolves
(Home) 07 Oct
One Knoxville
3 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0 Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 0 Corpus Christi FC
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1 Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 4
Greenville Triumph
(Away) 03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
26 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Union Omaha
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
16 Sept
Greenville Triumph
0 : 1 Corpus Christi FC
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3 Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Athletic Club Boise
1 : 0 Greenville Triumph
19 Sept
Sarasota Paradise
6 : 0 Greenville Triumph
05 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3 : 1 Greenville Triumph
23 Aug
Spokane Velocity
2 : 1 Greenville Triumph
13 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Greenville Triumph
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 67:42 | 60 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | 50:27 | 52 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 49:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 45:39 | 49 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:36 | 47 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 50:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 45:37 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Naples | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34:44 | 37 |
| 10 | Corpus Christi FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 11 | Westchester SC | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 48:46 | 33 |
| 12 | Sarasota Paradise | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 39:43 | 33 |
| 13 | AV Alta FC | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 35:42 | 32 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 43:53 | 31 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 36:56 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 30:52 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 29 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 30:60 | 23 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
