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Chattanooga Red Wolves vs New York Cosmos

USA USA

USL League One CHI Memorial Stadium, East Ridge, TN
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Hernandez P.
32' Event
Adewole T.
Assist: Kinzner E.
45' Event
Guenzatti S.
Assist: Koffi C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Chattanooga Red Wolves
20%
Draws
34%
New York Cosmos
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chattanooga Red Wolves

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chattanooga Red Wolves lately — more wins on the board than New York Cosmos.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Chattanooga Red Wolves Clean Sheet 12%
New York Cosmos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chattanooga Red Wolves New York Cosmos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 3 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.59 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.45 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 USL League One
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs New York Cosmos
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chattanooga Red Wolves Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adewole T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

New York Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Guenzatti S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cabrera N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chattanooga Red Wolves 29 / 100
New York Cosmos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chattanooga Red Wolves New York Cosmos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chattanooga Red Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chattanooga Red Wolves scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

New York Cosmos let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Chattanooga Red Wolves has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Chattanooga Red Wolves VS New York Cosmos
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Chattanooga Red Wolves

(Home)
30 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Spokane Velocity
26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 1
Portland Hearts of Pine
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Forward Madison
12 Sept
Richmond Kickers
1 : 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves
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New York Cosmos

(Away)
27 Sept
New York Cosmos
3 : 2
Richmond Kickers
19 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Westchester SC
12 Sept
Athletic Club Boise
2 : 1
New York Cosmos
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
02 Sept
New York Cosmos
1 : 2
Sarasota Paradise
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 29 19 4 6 53:31 61
2 Charlotte Independence 28 17 6 5 64:40 57
3 Forward Madison 28 15 6 7 50:27 51
4 One Knoxville 28 13 9 6 44:31 48
5 Athletic Club Boise 28 13 7 8 44:39 46
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 27 13 4 10 47:39 43
7 Spokane Velocity 25 13 4 8 37:33 43
8 Fort Wayne 27 10 8 9 42:36 38
9 Corpus Christi FC 27 9 9 9 32:37 36
10 Sarasota Paradise 27 9 6 12 37:40 33
11 AV Alta FC 28 8 8 12 34:40 32
12 FC Naples 27 9 4 14 30:43 31
13 Westchester SC 28 8 6 14 46:45 30
14 Portland Hearts of Pine 28 7 9 12 40:50 30
15 New York Cosmos 27 7 4 16 35:54 25
16 Greenville Triumph 27 6 5 16 30:51 23
17 Richmond Kickers 27 5 5 17 27:56 20
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